Matt Little holds a commanding 93% implied probability in the MN-02 House race due to the district’s evolution into a lean-Democratic seat and his decisive August 11 primary victory. Former incumbent Angie Craig’s decision to run for Senate created an open contest in the southern Twin Cities suburbs, where recent cycles showed Democratic gains. Little consolidated support after winning the DFL endorsement and defeating state Sen. Matt Klein and state Rep. Kaela Berg, while Republican state Sen. Eric Pratt advanced unopposed. A June poll showed Little ahead by five points, and models such as Pollsmax project a double-digit Democratic margin. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include stronger-than-expected Republican turnout tied to national economic or foreign-policy developments, though the current trader consensus reflects the district’s structural tilt and Little’s unified party backing heading into November.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado$31,592 Vol.
$31,592 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Matt Little (D)
93%
Eric Pratt (R)
6%
$31,592 Vol.
$31,592 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Matt Little (D)
$10,079 Vol.
93%
Eric Pratt (R)
$21,513 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Matt Little holds a commanding 93% implied probability in the MN-02 House race due to the district’s evolution into a lean-Democratic seat and his decisive August 11 primary victory. Former incumbent Angie Craig’s decision to run for Senate created an open contest in the southern Twin Cities suburbs, where recent cycles showed Democratic gains. Little consolidated support after winning the DFL endorsement and defeating state Sen. Matt Klein and state Rep. Kaela Berg, while Republican state Sen. Eric Pratt advanced unopposed. A June poll showed Little ahead by five points, and models such as Pollsmax project a double-digit Democratic margin. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include stronger-than-expected Republican turnout tied to national economic or foreign-policy developments, though the current trader consensus reflects the district’s structural tilt and Little’s unified party backing heading into November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Dec 16, 2025, 12:08 PM ET
Volumen
$31,592Fecha de finalización
4 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Dec 16, 2025, 12:08 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Matt Little holds a commanding 93% implied probability in the MN-02 House race due to the district’s evolution into a lean-Democratic seat and his decisive August 11 primary victory. Former incumbent Angie Craig’s decision to run for Senate created an open contest in the southern Twin Cities suburbs, where recent cycles showed Democratic gains. Little consolidated support after winning the DFL endorsement and defeating state Sen. Matt Klein and state Rep. Kaela Berg, while Republican state Sen. Eric Pratt advanced unopposed. A June poll showed Little ahead by five points, and models such as Pollsmax project a double-digit Democratic margin. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include stronger-than-expected Republican turnout tied to national economic or foreign-policy developments, though the current trader consensus reflects the district’s structural tilt and Little’s unified party backing heading into November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$31,592Fecha de finalización
4 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Dec 16, 2025, 12:08 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Matt Little holds a commanding 93% implied probability in the MN-02 House race due to the district’s evolution into a lean-Democratic seat and his decisive August 11 primary victory. Former incumbent Angie Craig’s decision to run for Senate created an open contest in the southern Twin Cities suburbs, where recent cycles showed Democratic gains. Little consolidated support after winning the DFL endorsement and defeating state Sen. Matt Klein and state Rep. Kaela Berg, while Republican state Sen. Eric Pratt advanced unopposed. A June poll showed Little ahead by five points, and models such as Pollsmax project a double-digit Democratic margin. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include stronger-than-expected Republican turnout tied to national economic or foreign-policy developments, though the current trader consensus reflects the district’s structural tilt and Little’s unified party backing heading into November.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes