The district’s consistent Democratic lean, reflected in its D+11 partisan voting index and Kamala Harris’s 21-point margin in 2024, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Incumbent Kelly Morrison, who won the seat with 58.4 percent in her first run, faces limited primary opposition ahead of the August 11 contest, while Republican candidates Tyler Bass and Quentin Wittrock compete in a low-visibility primary. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic, consistent with the area’s suburban Twin Cities demographics and recent election results. A late scandal, sharp national Republican surge, or unusually strong GOP nominee could narrow the gap, though structural and incumbency factors make such shifts unlikely before November.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGanador de las elecciones de la Cámara de Representantes MN-03
Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara de Representantes MN-03
$10,058 Vol.
$10,058 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Demócrata
93%
Partido Republicano
7%
$10,058 Vol.
$10,058 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Demócrata
$6,165 Vol.
93%
Partido Republicano
$3,893 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The district’s consistent Democratic lean, reflected in its D+11 partisan voting index and Kamala Harris’s 21-point margin in 2024, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Incumbent Kelly Morrison, who won the seat with 58.4 percent in her first run, faces limited primary opposition ahead of the August 11 contest, while Republican candidates Tyler Bass and Quentin Wittrock compete in a low-visibility primary. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic, consistent with the area’s suburban Twin Cities demographics and recent election results. A late scandal, sharp national Republican surge, or unusually strong GOP nominee could narrow the gap, though structural and incumbency factors make such shifts unlikely before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volumen
$10,058Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The district’s consistent Democratic lean, reflected in its D+11 partisan voting index and Kamala Harris’s 21-point margin in 2024, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Incumbent Kelly Morrison, who won the seat with 58.4 percent in her first run, faces limited primary opposition ahead of the August 11 contest, while Republican candidates Tyler Bass and Quentin Wittrock compete in a low-visibility primary. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic, consistent with the area’s suburban Twin Cities demographics and recent election results. A late scandal, sharp national Republican surge, or unusually strong GOP nominee could narrow the gap, though structural and incumbency factors make such shifts unlikely before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$10,058Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The district’s consistent Democratic lean, reflected in its D+11 partisan voting index and Kamala Harris’s 21-point margin in 2024, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Incumbent Kelly Morrison, who won the seat with 58.4 percent in her first run, faces limited primary opposition ahead of the August 11 contest, while Republican candidates Tyler Bass and Quentin Wittrock compete in a low-visibility primary. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic, consistent with the area’s suburban Twin Cities demographics and recent election results. A late scandal, sharp national Republican surge, or unusually strong GOP nominee could narrow the gap, though structural and incumbency factors make such shifts unlikely before November.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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