Minnesota's 4th congressional district maintains a pronounced Democratic lean, reflected in its D+18 partisan voter index and the incumbent's prior general election margins exceeding 65 percent. Long-serving Representative Betty McCollum faces a Democratic primary opponent on August 11, 2026, but has consolidated party support in this Saint Paul-centered Twin Cities seat. The Republican primary field lacks notable momentum or fundraising advantages that would signal a competitive general election threat. Trader consensus pricing the Democratic nominee near 93 percent aligns with historical voting patterns and nonpartisan race ratings classifying the contest as safe Democratic. Late developments such as an unusually strong Republican nominee, major scandal, or national political shift could narrow the gap, though the district's structural advantages limit such prospects ahead of the November general election.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGanador de las elecciones de la Cámara de Representantes MN-04
Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara de Representantes MN-04
$11,370 Vol.
$11,370 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Demócrata
94%
Partido Republicano
7%
$11,370 Vol.
$11,370 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Demócrata
$3,370 Vol.
94%
Partido Republicano
$8,000 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Minnesota's 4th congressional district maintains a pronounced Democratic lean, reflected in its D+18 partisan voter index and the incumbent's prior general election margins exceeding 65 percent. Long-serving Representative Betty McCollum faces a Democratic primary opponent on August 11, 2026, but has consolidated party support in this Saint Paul-centered Twin Cities seat. The Republican primary field lacks notable momentum or fundraising advantages that would signal a competitive general election threat. Trader consensus pricing the Democratic nominee near 93 percent aligns with historical voting patterns and nonpartisan race ratings classifying the contest as safe Democratic. Late developments such as an unusually strong Republican nominee, major scandal, or national political shift could narrow the gap, though the district's structural advantages limit such prospects ahead of the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volumen
$11,370Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Minnesota's 4th congressional district maintains a pronounced Democratic lean, reflected in its D+18 partisan voter index and the incumbent's prior general election margins exceeding 65 percent. Long-serving Representative Betty McCollum faces a Democratic primary opponent on August 11, 2026, but has consolidated party support in this Saint Paul-centered Twin Cities seat. The Republican primary field lacks notable momentum or fundraising advantages that would signal a competitive general election threat. Trader consensus pricing the Democratic nominee near 93 percent aligns with historical voting patterns and nonpartisan race ratings classifying the contest as safe Democratic. Late developments such as an unusually strong Republican nominee, major scandal, or national political shift could narrow the gap, though the district's structural advantages limit such prospects ahead of the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$11,370Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Minnesota's 4th congressional district maintains a pronounced Democratic lean, reflected in its D+18 partisan voter index and the incumbent's prior general election margins exceeding 65 percent. Long-serving Representative Betty McCollum faces a Democratic primary opponent on August 11, 2026, but has consolidated party support in this Saint Paul-centered Twin Cities seat. The Republican primary field lacks notable momentum or fundraising advantages that would signal a competitive general election threat. Trader consensus pricing the Democratic nominee near 93 percent aligns with historical voting patterns and nonpartisan race ratings classifying the contest as safe Democratic. Late developments such as an unusually strong Republican nominee, major scandal, or national political shift could narrow the gap, though the district's structural advantages limit such prospects ahead of the November general election.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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