Democratic incumbent Hillary Scholten holds a strong position in Michigan’s 3rd congressional district, which has shifted steadily leftward since 2016 and supported her by roughly 10 points in 2024. Race ratings classify the seat as Likely or Solid Democratic, reflecting its partisan voting index and consistent electoral results. Republicans face an August 4 primary among lesser-known candidates with limited early fundraising visibility, while Scholten benefits from incumbency advantages and district trends favoring Democratic performance in recent cycles. The November 2026 general election timeline leaves room for shifts, but current conditions sustain trader consensus around Democratic retention.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGanador de las elecciones de la Cámara de Representantes MI-03
Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara de Representantes MI-03
NUEVO
NUEVO
4 nov 2026
Partido Demócrata
68%
Partido Republicano
30%
NUEVO
NUEVO
4 nov 2026
Partido Demócrata
$478 Vol.
68%
Partido Republicano
$163 Vol.
30%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Democratic incumbent Hillary Scholten holds a strong position in Michigan’s 3rd congressional district, which has shifted steadily leftward since 2016 and supported her by roughly 10 points in 2024. Race ratings classify the seat as Likely or Solid Democratic, reflecting its partisan voting index and consistent electoral results. Republicans face an August 4 primary among lesser-known candidates with limited early fundraising visibility, while Scholten benefits from incumbency advantages and district trends favoring Democratic performance in recent cycles. The November 2026 general election timeline leaves room for shifts, but current conditions sustain trader consensus around Democratic retention.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Dec 16, 2025, 11:59 AM ET
Volumen
$641Fecha de finalización
4 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Dec 16, 2025, 11:59 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Democratic incumbent Hillary Scholten holds a strong position in Michigan’s 3rd congressional district, which has shifted steadily leftward since 2016 and supported her by roughly 10 points in 2024. Race ratings classify the seat as Likely or Solid Democratic, reflecting its partisan voting index and consistent electoral results. Republicans face an August 4 primary among lesser-known candidates with limited early fundraising visibility, while Scholten benefits from incumbency advantages and district trends favoring Democratic performance in recent cycles. The November 2026 general election timeline leaves room for shifts, but current conditions sustain trader consensus around Democratic retention.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$641Fecha de finalización
4 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Dec 16, 2025, 11:59 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Democratic incumbent Hillary Scholten holds a strong position in Michigan’s 3rd congressional district, which has shifted steadily leftward since 2016 and supported her by roughly 10 points in 2024. Race ratings classify the seat as Likely or Solid Democratic, reflecting its partisan voting index and consistent electoral results. Republicans face an August 4 primary among lesser-known candidates with limited early fundraising visibility, while Scholten benefits from incumbency advantages and district trends favoring Democratic performance in recent cycles. The November 2026 general election timeline leaves room for shifts, but current conditions sustain trader consensus around Democratic retention.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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