Redistricting under Governor Ron DeSantis shifted Florida’s 22nd Congressional District from Democratic-leaning to a Republican-tilted seat with an R+4 partisan voting index, where Donald Trump carried the territory by 10 points in 2024. Multiple forecasters rate the open race Lean or Tilt Republican ahead of the November 3 general election. Casey Askar secured the GOP nomination in the August 18 primary, while Pia Dandiya advanced for Democrats; both campaigns are now underway in a district stretching from western Palm Beach and Broward counties across to Collier and Hendry. The modest Republican edge in trader pricing aligns with the map’s structural advantage and historical midterm patterns in similar Florida seats, though the absence of an incumbent and Democratic targeting leave room for movement before Election Day.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGanador de la elección de la Cámara FL-22
Ganador de la elección de la Cámara FL-22
$40,334 Vol.
$40,334 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
56%
Partido Demócrata
43%
$40,334 Vol.
$40,334 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
$22,810 Vol.
56%
Partido Demócrata
$17,525 Vol.
43%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-22 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Redistricting under Governor Ron DeSantis shifted Florida’s 22nd Congressional District from Democratic-leaning to a Republican-tilted seat with an R+4 partisan voting index, where Donald Trump carried the territory by 10 points in 2024. Multiple forecasters rate the open race Lean or Tilt Republican ahead of the November 3 general election. Casey Askar secured the GOP nomination in the August 18 primary, while Pia Dandiya advanced for Democrats; both campaigns are now underway in a district stretching from western Palm Beach and Broward counties across to Collier and Hendry. The modest Republican edge in trader pricing aligns with the map’s structural advantage and historical midterm patterns in similar Florida seats, though the absence of an incumbent and Democratic targeting leave room for movement before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-22 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ET
Volumen
$40,334Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-22 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Redistricting under Governor Ron DeSantis shifted Florida’s 22nd Congressional District from Democratic-leaning to a Republican-tilted seat with an R+4 partisan voting index, where Donald Trump carried the territory by 10 points in 2024. Multiple forecasters rate the open race Lean or Tilt Republican ahead of the November 3 general election. Casey Askar secured the GOP nomination in the August 18 primary, while Pia Dandiya advanced for Democrats; both campaigns are now underway in a district stretching from western Palm Beach and Broward counties across to Collier and Hendry. The modest Republican edge in trader pricing aligns with the map’s structural advantage and historical midterm patterns in similar Florida seats, though the absence of an incumbent and Democratic targeting leave room for movement before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-22 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$40,334Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Redistricting under Governor Ron DeSantis shifted Florida’s 22nd Congressional District from Democratic-leaning to a Republican-tilted seat with an R+4 partisan voting index, where Donald Trump carried the territory by 10 points in 2024. Multiple forecasters rate the open race Lean or Tilt Republican ahead of the November 3 general election. Casey Askar secured the GOP nomination in the August 18 primary, while Pia Dandiya advanced for Democrats; both campaigns are now underway in a district stretching from western Palm Beach and Broward counties across to Collier and Hendry. The modest Republican edge in trader pricing aligns with the map’s structural advantage and historical midterm patterns in similar Florida seats, though the absence of an incumbent and Democratic targeting leave room for movement before Election Day.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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