Incumbent Democrat Frank Mrvan’s reelection bid anchors trader consensus in Indiana’s 1st congressional district, a Northwest Indiana seat encompassing Gary, Hammond, and Lake and Porter counties that carries a modest Democratic lean. Mrvan secured renomination with over 80 percent in the May primary and holds a “Likely Democratic” rating across Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Decision Desk HQ assessments. Republican nominee Barb Regnitz, a Porter County commissioner, advanced from her primary and received National Republican Congressional Committee backing in July under its targeted program, yet this has not altered race ratings. The combination of incumbency, established fundraising, and district voting patterns sustains the 82.5 percent Democratic implied probability while leaving room for shifts if Republican resources intensify closer to November.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGanador de las elecciones de la Cámara de Representantes IN-01
Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara de Representantes IN-01
NUEVO
NUEVO
4 nov 2026
Partido Demócrata
83%
Partido Republicano
15%
NUEVO
NUEVO
4 nov 2026
Partido Demócrata
$1,892 Vol.
83%
Partido Republicano
$742 Vol.
15%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IN-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Frank Mrvan’s reelection bid anchors trader consensus in Indiana’s 1st congressional district, a Northwest Indiana seat encompassing Gary, Hammond, and Lake and Porter counties that carries a modest Democratic lean. Mrvan secured renomination with over 80 percent in the May primary and holds a “Likely Democratic” rating across Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Decision Desk HQ assessments. Republican nominee Barb Regnitz, a Porter County commissioner, advanced from her primary and received National Republican Congressional Committee backing in July under its targeted program, yet this has not altered race ratings. The combination of incumbency, established fundraising, and district voting patterns sustains the 82.5 percent Democratic implied probability while leaving room for shifts if Republican resources intensify closer to November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IN-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Dec 16, 2025, 11:52 AM ET
Volumen
$2,634Fecha de finalización
4 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Dec 16, 2025, 11:52 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IN-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Frank Mrvan’s reelection bid anchors trader consensus in Indiana’s 1st congressional district, a Northwest Indiana seat encompassing Gary, Hammond, and Lake and Porter counties that carries a modest Democratic lean. Mrvan secured renomination with over 80 percent in the May primary and holds a “Likely Democratic” rating across Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Decision Desk HQ assessments. Republican nominee Barb Regnitz, a Porter County commissioner, advanced from her primary and received National Republican Congressional Committee backing in July under its targeted program, yet this has not altered race ratings. The combination of incumbency, established fundraising, and district voting patterns sustains the 82.5 percent Democratic implied probability while leaving room for shifts if Republican resources intensify closer to November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IN-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$2,634Fecha de finalización
4 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Dec 16, 2025, 11:52 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Frank Mrvan’s reelection bid anchors trader consensus in Indiana’s 1st congressional district, a Northwest Indiana seat encompassing Gary, Hammond, and Lake and Porter counties that carries a modest Democratic lean. Mrvan secured renomination with over 80 percent in the May primary and holds a “Likely Democratic” rating across Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Decision Desk HQ assessments. Republican nominee Barb Regnitz, a Porter County commissioner, advanced from her primary and received National Republican Congressional Committee backing in July under its targeted program, yet this has not altered race ratings. The combination of incumbency, established fundraising, and district voting patterns sustains the 82.5 percent Democratic implied probability while leaving room for shifts if Republican resources intensify closer to November.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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