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Elecciones·Parciales

Ganador de la primaria demócrata CT-01

icon for Ganador de la primaria demócrata CT-01
Elecciones·Parciales

Ganador de la primaria demócrata CT-01

Luke Bronin 56%

John Larson 40%

Ruth Fortune 3.0%

Jillian Gilchrest 2.1%

Polymarket

$10,669 Vol.

Luke Bronin 56%

John Larson 40%

Ruth Fortune 3.0%

Jillian Gilchrest 2.1%

Polymarket

$10,669 Vol.

Luke Bronin

$4,274 Vol.

56%

John Larson

$1,500 Vol.

40%

Ruth Fortune

$985 Vol.

3%

Jillian Gilchrest

$2,239 Vol.

2%

Mark Stewart Greenstein

$1,671 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the CT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 11, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.**Luke Bronin leads the CT-01 Democratic primary market following his narrow victory at the May 2026 party convention, where he secured the Democratic endorsement over 14-term incumbent John Larson by 51.2% to 48.8% on the second ballot.** This unusual upset among delegates shifted momentum toward the former Hartford mayor in the August 11 primary, where voters will decide the nominee for the safely Democratic district. Larson retains significant name recognition, labor backing, and fundraising capacity, keeping the race competitive. Jillian Gilchrest qualified for the ballot alongside minor candidates Ruth Fortune and Mark Stewart Greenstein, but trails substantially in endorsements and visibility. Traders appear to price the convention outcome as the dominant signal of party support heading into the primary.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the CT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 11, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volumen
$10,669
Fecha de finalización
11 ago 2026
Mercado abierto
Feb 26, 2026, 5:41 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the CT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 11, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the CT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 11, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.**Luke Bronin leads the CT-01 Democratic primary market following his narrow victory at the May 2026 party convention, where he secured the Democratic endorsement over 14-term incumbent John Larson by 51.2% to 48.8% on the second ballot.** This unusual upset among delegates shifted momentum toward the former Hartford mayor in the August 11 primary, where voters will decide the nominee for the safely Democratic district. Larson retains significant name recognition, labor backing, and fundraising capacity, keeping the race competitive. Jillian Gilchrest qualified for the ballot alongside minor candidates Ruth Fortune and Mark Stewart Greenstein, but trails substantially in endorsements and visibility. Traders appear to price the convention outcome as the dominant signal of party support heading into the primary.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the CT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 11, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volumen
$10,669
Fecha de finalización
11 ago 2026
Mercado abierto
Feb 26, 2026, 5:41 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the CT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 11, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Ganador de la primaria demócrata CT-01" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 5 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Luke Bronin" con 56%, seguido de "John Larson" con 40%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 56¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 56% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Ganador de la primaria demócrata CT-01" ha generado $10.7K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Feb 26, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Ganador de la primaria demócrata CT-01", explora los 5 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Ganador de la primaria demócrata CT-01" es "Luke Bronin" con 56%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 56% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "John Larson" con 40%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Ganador de la primaria demócrata CT-01" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.