Florida's 1st congressional district race for the 2026 midterms shows trader consensus favoring neither major party decisively, with the Republican Party at a 42% implied probability and the Democratic Party at 12%. This pricing reflects the early stage of the cycle, where candidate fields remain fluid and national midterm dynamics have yet to sharpen focus. The district's established Republican tilt provides structural context, but potential candidate entries, primary contests, and broader voter turnout patterns in battleground areas could alter positioning ahead of the general election. No major verified developments in the past 30 days have materially shifted these probabilities.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoFL-01 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
FL-01 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
$110,003 Vol.
$110,003 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
43%
Partido Demócrata
12%
$110,003 Vol.
$110,003 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
$85,722 Vol.
43%
Partido Demócrata
$24,281 Vol.
12%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 1st congressional district race for the 2026 midterms shows trader consensus favoring neither major party decisively, with the Republican Party at a 42% implied probability and the Democratic Party at 12%. This pricing reflects the early stage of the cycle, where candidate fields remain fluid and national midterm dynamics have yet to sharpen focus. The district's established Republican tilt provides structural context, but potential candidate entries, primary contests, and broader voter turnout patterns in battleground areas could alter positioning ahead of the general election. No major verified developments in the past 30 days have materially shifted these probabilities.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
Volumen
$110,003Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 1st congressional district race for the 2026 midterms shows trader consensus favoring neither major party decisively, with the Republican Party at a 42% implied probability and the Democratic Party at 12%. This pricing reflects the early stage of the cycle, where candidate fields remain fluid and national midterm dynamics have yet to sharpen focus. The district's established Republican tilt provides structural context, but potential candidate entries, primary contests, and broader voter turnout patterns in battleground areas could alter positioning ahead of the general election. No major verified developments in the past 30 days have materially shifted these probabilities.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$110,003Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Florida's 1st congressional district race for the 2026 midterms shows trader consensus favoring neither major party decisively, with the Republican Party at a 42% implied probability and the Democratic Party at 12%. This pricing reflects the early stage of the cycle, where candidate fields remain fluid and national midterm dynamics have yet to sharpen focus. The district's established Republican tilt provides structural context, but potential candidate entries, primary contests, and broader voter turnout patterns in battleground areas could alter positioning ahead of the general election. No major verified developments in the past 30 days have materially shifted these probabilities.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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