Incumbent Republican Rick Allen secured his party's nomination in the May 2026 primary with roughly 83% of the vote against challenger Tori Branum, while Democrat Ceretta Smith advanced as the general election opponent. The district's R+7 partisan voting index and consistent Republican performance in recent cycles underpin trader consensus favoring the GOP at 82%. Allen's long tenure since 2015 without serious general-election threats, combined with limited Democratic fundraising and the absence of major scandals or national shifts affecting the seat, has kept probabilities stable. The November 3 general election timeline leaves little room for late developments to alter the current positioning unless unforeseen events emerge in the final months.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGA-12 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
GA-12 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
$27,985 Vol.
$27,985 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
82%
Partido Demócrata
17%
$27,985 Vol.
$27,985 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
$15,030 Vol.
82%
Partido Demócrata
$12,955 Vol.
17%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the GA-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Rick Allen secured his party's nomination in the May 2026 primary with roughly 83% of the vote against challenger Tori Branum, while Democrat Ceretta Smith advanced as the general election opponent. The district's R+7 partisan voting index and consistent Republican performance in recent cycles underpin trader consensus favoring the GOP at 82%. Allen's long tenure since 2015 without serious general-election threats, combined with limited Democratic fundraising and the absence of major scandals or national shifts affecting the seat, has kept probabilities stable. The November 3 general election timeline leaves little room for late developments to alter the current positioning unless unforeseen events emerge in the final months.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the GA-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
Volumen
$27,985Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the GA-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Rick Allen secured his party's nomination in the May 2026 primary with roughly 83% of the vote against challenger Tori Branum, while Democrat Ceretta Smith advanced as the general election opponent. The district's R+7 partisan voting index and consistent Republican performance in recent cycles underpin trader consensus favoring the GOP at 82%. Allen's long tenure since 2015 without serious general-election threats, combined with limited Democratic fundraising and the absence of major scandals or national shifts affecting the seat, has kept probabilities stable. The November 3 general election timeline leaves little room for late developments to alter the current positioning unless unforeseen events emerge in the final months.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the GA-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$27,985Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Rick Allen secured his party's nomination in the May 2026 primary with roughly 83% of the vote against challenger Tori Branum, while Democrat Ceretta Smith advanced as the general election opponent. The district's R+7 partisan voting index and consistent Republican performance in recent cycles underpin trader consensus favoring the GOP at 82%. Allen's long tenure since 2015 without serious general-election threats, combined with limited Democratic fundraising and the absence of major scandals or national shifts affecting the seat, has kept probabilities stable. The November 3 general election timeline leaves little room for late developments to alter the current positioning unless unforeseen events emerge in the final months.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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