Democratic challenger JoAnna Mendoza holds a polling edge over Republican incumbent Juan Ciscomani in Arizona’s 6th Congressional District, with recent surveys showing her ahead by 2–3 points in a race rated toss-up or lean Democratic by major forecasters. Mendoza’s substantial fundraising lead and unopposed primary victory have strengthened her position ahead of the November general election, while Ciscomani faces unfavorable ratings in internal polling. The district’s even partisan lean and history of narrow margins amplify sensitivity to turnout and national conditions, driving trader consensus toward the Democratic nominee.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoAZ-06 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
AZ-06 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
$11,580 Vol.
$11,580 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Demócrata
83%
Partido Republicano
18%
$11,580 Vol.
$11,580 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Demócrata
$3,889 Vol.
83%
Partido Republicano
$7,690 Vol.
18%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Democratic challenger JoAnna Mendoza holds a polling edge over Republican incumbent Juan Ciscomani in Arizona’s 6th Congressional District, with recent surveys showing her ahead by 2–3 points in a race rated toss-up or lean Democratic by major forecasters. Mendoza’s substantial fundraising lead and unopposed primary victory have strengthened her position ahead of the November general election, while Ciscomani faces unfavorable ratings in internal polling. The district’s even partisan lean and history of narrow margins amplify sensitivity to turnout and national conditions, driving trader consensus toward the Democratic nominee.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Dec 16, 2025, 11:41 AM ET
Volumen
$11,580Fecha de finalización
4 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Dec 16, 2025, 11:41 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Democratic challenger JoAnna Mendoza holds a polling edge over Republican incumbent Juan Ciscomani in Arizona’s 6th Congressional District, with recent surveys showing her ahead by 2–3 points in a race rated toss-up or lean Democratic by major forecasters. Mendoza’s substantial fundraising lead and unopposed primary victory have strengthened her position ahead of the November general election, while Ciscomani faces unfavorable ratings in internal polling. The district’s even partisan lean and history of narrow margins amplify sensitivity to turnout and national conditions, driving trader consensus toward the Democratic nominee.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$11,580Fecha de finalización
4 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Dec 16, 2025, 11:41 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Democratic challenger JoAnna Mendoza holds a polling edge over Republican incumbent Juan Ciscomani in Arizona’s 6th Congressional District, with recent surveys showing her ahead by 2–3 points in a race rated toss-up or lean Democratic by major forecasters. Mendoza’s substantial fundraising lead and unopposed primary victory have strengthened her position ahead of the November general election, while Ciscomani faces unfavorable ratings in internal polling. The district’s even partisan lean and history of narrow margins amplify sensitivity to turnout and national conditions, driving trader consensus toward the Democratic nominee.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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