Adelita Grijalva, the Democratic incumbent who won the 2025 special election by roughly 40 points to succeed her late father, holds a strong position in Arizona's 7th Congressional District. The seat features a D+13 partisan voter index and has favored Democratic candidates by double-digit margins in recent cycles, including a 60-38 presidential result in 2024. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the July 2026 primaries and November general election. Republican nominee Daniel Butierez trails significantly in this majority-Hispanic border district. Trader consensus reflects these structural advantages and the absence of recent polling shifts or national developments that would alter the balance. A major scandal, health event, or extreme turnout swing could narrow the gap, though historical patterns in safe seats limit such upside.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoAZ-07 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
AZ-07 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
$10,303 Vol.
$10,303 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Demócrata
93%
Partido Republicano
7%
$10,303 Vol.
$10,303 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Demócrata
$3,996 Vol.
93%
Partido Republicano
$6,307 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Adelita Grijalva, the Democratic incumbent who won the 2025 special election by roughly 40 points to succeed her late father, holds a strong position in Arizona's 7th Congressional District. The seat features a D+13 partisan voter index and has favored Democratic candidates by double-digit margins in recent cycles, including a 60-38 presidential result in 2024. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the July 2026 primaries and November general election. Republican nominee Daniel Butierez trails significantly in this majority-Hispanic border district. Trader consensus reflects these structural advantages and the absence of recent polling shifts or national developments that would alter the balance. A major scandal, health event, or extreme turnout swing could narrow the gap, though historical patterns in safe seats limit such upside.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ET
Volumen
$10,303Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Adelita Grijalva, the Democratic incumbent who won the 2025 special election by roughly 40 points to succeed her late father, holds a strong position in Arizona's 7th Congressional District. The seat features a D+13 partisan voter index and has favored Democratic candidates by double-digit margins in recent cycles, including a 60-38 presidential result in 2024. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the July 2026 primaries and November general election. Republican nominee Daniel Butierez trails significantly in this majority-Hispanic border district. Trader consensus reflects these structural advantages and the absence of recent polling shifts or national developments that would alter the balance. A major scandal, health event, or extreme turnout swing could narrow the gap, though historical patterns in safe seats limit such upside.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$10,303Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Adelita Grijalva, the Democratic incumbent who won the 2025 special election by roughly 40 points to succeed her late father, holds a strong position in Arizona's 7th Congressional District. The seat features a D+13 partisan voter index and has favored Democratic candidates by double-digit margins in recent cycles, including a 60-38 presidential result in 2024. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the July 2026 primaries and November general election. Republican nominee Daniel Butierez trails significantly in this majority-Hispanic border district. Trader consensus reflects these structural advantages and the absence of recent polling shifts or national developments that would alter the balance. A major scandal, health event, or extreme turnout swing could narrow the gap, though historical patterns in safe seats limit such upside.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes