Mike Kennedy holds a commanding position in Utah’s 4th Congressional District race, reflecting the district’s strong Republican lean under the post-redistricting map and his status as the party’s nominee. Kennedy, who previously represented the 3rd district, secured the Republican nomination with roughly 79 percent at the state convention and faces no primary opposition. The seat is rated Solid or Safe Republican by Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball. Jonny Larsen, the Democratic nominee and a Marine veteran, advanced without a contested primary but trails significantly in fundraising. The general election on November 3, 2026, occurs in a district where Republicans have historically prevailed by wide margins, with limited recent developments altering the outlook. Late developments such as a major scandal or national political shift remain the primary scenarios that could narrow the gap.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoUT-04 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
UT-04 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
$42,280 Vol.
$42,280 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Mike Kennedy (R)
95%
Jonny Larsen (D)
4%
$42,280 Vol.
$42,280 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Mike Kennedy (R)
$16,189 Vol.
95%
Jonny Larsen (D)
$26,091 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Mike Kennedy holds a commanding position in Utah’s 4th Congressional District race, reflecting the district’s strong Republican lean under the post-redistricting map and his status as the party’s nominee. Kennedy, who previously represented the 3rd district, secured the Republican nomination with roughly 79 percent at the state convention and faces no primary opposition. The seat is rated Solid or Safe Republican by Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball. Jonny Larsen, the Democratic nominee and a Marine veteran, advanced without a contested primary but trails significantly in fundraising. The general election on November 3, 2026, occurs in a district where Republicans have historically prevailed by wide margins, with limited recent developments altering the outlook. Late developments such as a major scandal or national political shift remain the primary scenarios that could narrow the gap.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Volumen
$42,280Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Mike Kennedy holds a commanding position in Utah’s 4th Congressional District race, reflecting the district’s strong Republican lean under the post-redistricting map and his status as the party’s nominee. Kennedy, who previously represented the 3rd district, secured the Republican nomination with roughly 79 percent at the state convention and faces no primary opposition. The seat is rated Solid or Safe Republican by Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball. Jonny Larsen, the Democratic nominee and a Marine veteran, advanced without a contested primary but trails significantly in fundraising. The general election on November 3, 2026, occurs in a district where Republicans have historically prevailed by wide margins, with limited recent developments altering the outlook. Late developments such as a major scandal or national political shift remain the primary scenarios that could narrow the gap.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$42,280Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Mike Kennedy holds a commanding position in Utah’s 4th Congressional District race, reflecting the district’s strong Republican lean under the post-redistricting map and his status as the party’s nominee. Kennedy, who previously represented the 3rd district, secured the Republican nomination with roughly 79 percent at the state convention and faces no primary opposition. The seat is rated Solid or Safe Republican by Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball. Jonny Larsen, the Democratic nominee and a Marine veteran, advanced without a contested primary but trails significantly in fundraising. The general election on November 3, 2026, occurs in a district where Republicans have historically prevailed by wide margins, with limited recent developments altering the outlook. Late developments such as a major scandal or national political shift remain the primary scenarios that could narrow the gap.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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