Incumbent Republican Blake Moore secured the nomination for Utah’s 2nd congressional district after defeating state Rep. Karianne Lisonbee in the June primary with roughly 57 percent of the vote. The newly configured district, encompassing Box Elder, Cache, Rich, Davis, and most of Weber counties, rates as solidly Republican across major forecasters due to its voter composition and historical margins. Moore’s three-term tenure, endorsements from party leadership, and the absence of competitive Democratic opposition from nominee Peter Crosby have reinforced trader consensus on a Republican hold. Late developments such as a significant scandal, health event, or national midterm surge could still alter the trajectory before the November general election.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoUT-02 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
$12,961 Vol.
$12,961 Vol.
Partido Republicano
95%
Partido Demócrata
5%
$12,961 Vol.
$12,961 Vol.
Partido Republicano
95%
Partido Demócrata
5%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Blake Moore secured the nomination for Utah’s 2nd congressional district after defeating state Rep. Karianne Lisonbee in the June primary with roughly 57 percent of the vote. The newly configured district, encompassing Box Elder, Cache, Rich, Davis, and most of Weber counties, rates as solidly Republican across major forecasters due to its voter composition and historical margins. Moore’s three-term tenure, endorsements from party leadership, and the absence of competitive Democratic opposition from nominee Peter Crosby have reinforced trader consensus on a Republican hold. Late developments such as a significant scandal, health event, or national midterm surge could still alter the trajectory before the November general election.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado



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