**Texas's 2nd congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat heading into the November 3, 2026, general election.** The Republican nominee, state Representative Steve Toth, defeated incumbent Dan Crenshaw in the March 3 Republican primary by a 55.8%–40.7% margin, securing the nomination in a district where Donald Trump and Ted Cruz carried 60.8% and 58.0% respectively in 2024. Democrat Shaun Finnie won his party's uncontested primary. Cook Political Report rates the race Solid Republican, reflecting the district's northern and northeastern Houston suburbs (including The Woodlands, Spring, and Kingwood) and consistent GOP performance in recent cycles. With no Democratic candidate polling competitively and the seat's established partisan lean, traders assign the Republican Party an 87.5% implied probability of holding the seat. The 12% Democratic share aligns with limited upside in a district that has not elected a Democrat in decades.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoTX-02 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
TX-02 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
$10,377 Vol.
$10,377 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
88%
Partido Demócrata
12%
$10,377 Vol.
$10,377 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
$4,593 Vol.
88%
Partido Demócrata
$5,784 Vol.
12%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).**Texas's 2nd congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat heading into the November 3, 2026, general election.** The Republican nominee, state Representative Steve Toth, defeated incumbent Dan Crenshaw in the March 3 Republican primary by a 55.8%–40.7% margin, securing the nomination in a district where Donald Trump and Ted Cruz carried 60.8% and 58.0% respectively in 2024. Democrat Shaun Finnie won his party's uncontested primary.
Cook Political Report rates the race Solid Republican, reflecting the district's northern and northeastern Houston suburbs (including The Woodlands, Spring, and Kingwood) and consistent GOP performance in recent cycles. With no Democratic candidate polling competitively and the seat's established partisan lean, traders assign the Republican Party an 87.5% implied probability of holding the seat. The 12% Democratic share aligns with limited upside in a district that has not elected a Democrat in decades.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volumen
$10,377Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).**Texas's 2nd congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat heading into the November 3, 2026, general election.** The Republican nominee, state Representative Steve Toth, defeated incumbent Dan Crenshaw in the March 3 Republican primary by a 55.8%–40.7% margin, securing the nomination in a district where Donald Trump and Ted Cruz carried 60.8% and 58.0% respectively in 2024. Democrat Shaun Finnie won his party's uncontested primary.
Cook Political Report rates the race Solid Republican, reflecting the district's northern and northeastern Houston suburbs (including The Woodlands, Spring, and Kingwood) and consistent GOP performance in recent cycles. With no Democratic candidate polling competitively and the seat's established partisan lean, traders assign the Republican Party an 87.5% implied probability of holding the seat. The 12% Democratic share aligns with limited upside in a district that has not elected a Democrat in decades.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$10,377Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...**Texas's 2nd congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat heading into the November 3, 2026, general election.** The Republican nominee, state Representative Steve Toth, defeated incumbent Dan Crenshaw in the March 3 Republican primary by a 55.8%–40.7% margin, securing the nomination in a district where Donald Trump and Ted Cruz carried 60.8% and 58.0% respectively in 2024. Democrat Shaun Finnie won his party's uncontested primary. Cook Political Report rates the race Solid Republican, reflecting the district's northern and northeastern Houston suburbs (including The Woodlands, Spring, and Kingwood) and consistent GOP performance in recent cycles. With no Democratic candidate polling competitively and the seat's established partisan lean, traders assign the Republican Party an 87.5% implied probability of holding the seat. The 12% Democratic share aligns with limited upside in a district that has not elected a Democrat in decades.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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