The Republican nominee's strong position in Texas's 2nd Congressional District stems primarily from its partisan composition, with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+11 and consistent Republican presidential margins exceeding 20 points in recent cycles. The March 2026 Republican primary, in which state Rep. Steve Toth defeated incumbent Dan Crenshaw, produced a more conservative general-election candidate without altering the seat's underlying dynamics. Democratic nominee Shaun Finnie faces the structural challenge of competing in a district where Republican candidates have historically prevailed by wide margins in House races. No major polling shifts, candidate withdrawals, or external events have emerged since the primary to narrow the gap, leaving the race rated Solid Republican by multiple forecasters. The general election timeline through November 2026 offers limited windows for late developments to influence outcomes in this low-turnout environment.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoTX-02 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
TX-02 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
$11,942 Vol.
$11,942 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
86%
Partido Demócrata
12%
$11,942 Vol.
$11,942 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
$6,099 Vol.
86%
Partido Demócrata
$5,842 Vol.
12%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Republican nominee's strong position in Texas's 2nd Congressional District stems primarily from its partisan composition, with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+11 and consistent Republican presidential margins exceeding 20 points in recent cycles. The March 2026 Republican primary, in which state Rep. Steve Toth defeated incumbent Dan Crenshaw, produced a more conservative general-election candidate without altering the seat's underlying dynamics. Democratic nominee Shaun Finnie faces the structural challenge of competing in a district where Republican candidates have historically prevailed by wide margins in House races. No major polling shifts, candidate withdrawals, or external events have emerged since the primary to narrow the gap, leaving the race rated Solid Republican by multiple forecasters. The general election timeline through November 2026 offers limited windows for late developments to influence outcomes in this low-turnout environment.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volumen
$11,942Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Republican nominee's strong position in Texas's 2nd Congressional District stems primarily from its partisan composition, with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+11 and consistent Republican presidential margins exceeding 20 points in recent cycles. The March 2026 Republican primary, in which state Rep. Steve Toth defeated incumbent Dan Crenshaw, produced a more conservative general-election candidate without altering the seat's underlying dynamics. Democratic nominee Shaun Finnie faces the structural challenge of competing in a district where Republican candidates have historically prevailed by wide margins in House races. No major polling shifts, candidate withdrawals, or external events have emerged since the primary to narrow the gap, leaving the race rated Solid Republican by multiple forecasters. The general election timeline through November 2026 offers limited windows for late developments to influence outcomes in this low-turnout environment.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$11,942Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Republican nominee's strong position in Texas's 2nd Congressional District stems primarily from its partisan composition, with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+11 and consistent Republican presidential margins exceeding 20 points in recent cycles. The March 2026 Republican primary, in which state Rep. Steve Toth defeated incumbent Dan Crenshaw, produced a more conservative general-election candidate without altering the seat's underlying dynamics. Democratic nominee Shaun Finnie faces the structural challenge of competing in a district where Republican candidates have historically prevailed by wide margins in House races. No major polling shifts, candidate withdrawals, or external events have emerged since the primary to narrow the gap, leaving the race rated Solid Republican by multiple forecasters. The general election timeline through November 2026 offers limited windows for late developments to influence outcomes in this low-turnout environment.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes