Incumbent Republican Andrew Garbarino holds a strong position in New York’s 2nd congressional district heading into the November 2026 general election, reflecting the seat’s established Republican lean on Long Island’s South Shore. Garbarino advanced unopposed through the June 2026 Republican primary, while Democrat Patrick Halpin secured his party’s nomination. Ratings from outlets such as the Cook Political Report classify the race as Solid or Lean Republican, consistent with Garbarino’s 2024 margin and the district’s voting patterns. Trader consensus at 84% for the Republican nominee incorporates this incumbency advantage and baseline partisan composition, with limited recent developments capable of shifting the outlook before Election Day.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGanador de las elecciones de la Cámara de Representantes de NY-02
Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara de Representantes de NY-02
$17,131 Vol.
$17,131 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
84%
Partido Demócrata
17%
$17,131 Vol.
$17,131 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
$6,705 Vol.
84%
Partido Demócrata
$10,426 Vol.
17%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Andrew Garbarino holds a strong position in New York’s 2nd congressional district heading into the November 2026 general election, reflecting the seat’s established Republican lean on Long Island’s South Shore. Garbarino advanced unopposed through the June 2026 Republican primary, while Democrat Patrick Halpin secured his party’s nomination. Ratings from outlets such as the Cook Political Report classify the race as Solid or Lean Republican, consistent with Garbarino’s 2024 margin and the district’s voting patterns. Trader consensus at 84% for the Republican nominee incorporates this incumbency advantage and baseline partisan composition, with limited recent developments capable of shifting the outlook before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ET
Volumen
$17,131Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Andrew Garbarino holds a strong position in New York’s 2nd congressional district heading into the November 2026 general election, reflecting the seat’s established Republican lean on Long Island’s South Shore. Garbarino advanced unopposed through the June 2026 Republican primary, while Democrat Patrick Halpin secured his party’s nomination. Ratings from outlets such as the Cook Political Report classify the race as Solid or Lean Republican, consistent with Garbarino’s 2024 margin and the district’s voting patterns. Trader consensus at 84% for the Republican nominee incorporates this incumbency advantage and baseline partisan composition, with limited recent developments capable of shifting the outlook before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$17,131Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Andrew Garbarino holds a strong position in New York’s 2nd congressional district heading into the November 2026 general election, reflecting the seat’s established Republican lean on Long Island’s South Shore. Garbarino advanced unopposed through the June 2026 Republican primary, while Democrat Patrick Halpin secured his party’s nomination. Ratings from outlets such as the Cook Political Report classify the race as Solid or Lean Republican, consistent with Garbarino’s 2024 margin and the district’s voting patterns. Trader consensus at 84% for the Republican nominee incorporates this incumbency advantage and baseline partisan composition, with limited recent developments capable of shifting the outlook before Election Day.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes