Incumbent Republican Jim Jordan faces Democrat Joshua Kolasinski and independent Tracey Tackett in Ohio’s 4th congressional district on November 3, 2026. The district’s consistent Republican voting patterns, including Jordan’s 68.5 percent victory in 2024, underpin trader consensus around a 93.5 percent Republican outcome. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican based on partisan voting indices exceeding R+20 and limited Democratic infrastructure. Jordan’s unopposed primary further signals entrenched local support. Scenarios that could narrow this margin include late-breaking national shifts favoring Democrats, significant health or ethical developments affecting the incumbent, or unusually high opposition turnout, though historical base rates in comparable districts make such reversals uncommon before Election Day.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGanador de las elecciones de la Cámara OH-04
Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara OH-04
$14,804 Vol.
$14,804 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
94%
Partido Demócrata
6%
$14,804 Vol.
$14,804 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
$5,652 Vol.
94%
Partido Demócrata
$9,152 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Jim Jordan faces Democrat Joshua Kolasinski and independent Tracey Tackett in Ohio’s 4th congressional district on November 3, 2026. The district’s consistent Republican voting patterns, including Jordan’s 68.5 percent victory in 2024, underpin trader consensus around a 93.5 percent Republican outcome. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican based on partisan voting indices exceeding R+20 and limited Democratic infrastructure. Jordan’s unopposed primary further signals entrenched local support. Scenarios that could narrow this margin include late-breaking national shifts favoring Democrats, significant health or ethical developments affecting the incumbent, or unusually high opposition turnout, though historical base rates in comparable districts make such reversals uncommon before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volumen
$14,804Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Jim Jordan faces Democrat Joshua Kolasinski and independent Tracey Tackett in Ohio’s 4th congressional district on November 3, 2026. The district’s consistent Republican voting patterns, including Jordan’s 68.5 percent victory in 2024, underpin trader consensus around a 93.5 percent Republican outcome. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican based on partisan voting indices exceeding R+20 and limited Democratic infrastructure. Jordan’s unopposed primary further signals entrenched local support. Scenarios that could narrow this margin include late-breaking national shifts favoring Democrats, significant health or ethical developments affecting the incumbent, or unusually high opposition turnout, though historical base rates in comparable districts make such reversals uncommon before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$14,804Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Jim Jordan faces Democrat Joshua Kolasinski and independent Tracey Tackett in Ohio’s 4th congressional district on November 3, 2026. The district’s consistent Republican voting patterns, including Jordan’s 68.5 percent victory in 2024, underpin trader consensus around a 93.5 percent Republican outcome. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican based on partisan voting indices exceeding R+20 and limited Democratic infrastructure. Jordan’s unopposed primary further signals entrenched local support. Scenarios that could narrow this margin include late-breaking national shifts favoring Democrats, significant health or ethical developments affecting the incumbent, or unusually high opposition turnout, though historical base rates in comparable districts make such reversals uncommon before Election Day.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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