Michigan's 2nd congressional district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+15, reflecting consistent Republican advantages in recent presidential voting. Incumbent Republican John Moolenaar, who won reelection with 65 percent in 2024, faces an open primary field of Democratic challengers in August 2026 with no established frontrunner or significant fundraising edge reported. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican, aligning with the district's structural profile and limited early-cycle activity. A major national Democratic surge, unexpected primary disruptions, or turnout anomalies in November could narrow margins, though the current baseline leaves little room for such shifts absent new catalysts.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoMI-02 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
MI-02 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
$45,962 Vol.
$45,962 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
95%
Partido Demócrata
6%
$45,962 Vol.
$45,962 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
$21,645 Vol.
95%
Partido Demócrata
$24,317 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Michigan's 2nd congressional district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+15, reflecting consistent Republican advantages in recent presidential voting. Incumbent Republican John Moolenaar, who won reelection with 65 percent in 2024, faces an open primary field of Democratic challengers in August 2026 with no established frontrunner or significant fundraising edge reported. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican, aligning with the district's structural profile and limited early-cycle activity. A major national Democratic surge, unexpected primary disruptions, or turnout anomalies in November could narrow margins, though the current baseline leaves little room for such shifts absent new catalysts.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volumen
$45,962Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Michigan's 2nd congressional district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+15, reflecting consistent Republican advantages in recent presidential voting. Incumbent Republican John Moolenaar, who won reelection with 65 percent in 2024, faces an open primary field of Democratic challengers in August 2026 with no established frontrunner or significant fundraising edge reported. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican, aligning with the district's structural profile and limited early-cycle activity. A major national Democratic surge, unexpected primary disruptions, or turnout anomalies in November could narrow margins, though the current baseline leaves little room for such shifts absent new catalysts.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$45,962Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Michigan's 2nd congressional district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+15, reflecting consistent Republican advantages in recent presidential voting. Incumbent Republican John Moolenaar, who won reelection with 65 percent in 2024, faces an open primary field of Democratic challengers in August 2026 with no established frontrunner or significant fundraising edge reported. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican, aligning with the district's structural profile and limited early-cycle activity. A major national Democratic surge, unexpected primary disruptions, or turnout anomalies in November could narrow margins, though the current baseline leaves little room for such shifts absent new catalysts.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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