The commanding position of the Democratic nominee in Ohio's 3rd congressional district stems from its consistent D+20 or greater partisan lean, anchored in the Columbus area, combined with incumbent Joyce Beatty's primary victory over challenger Joe Gerard in May 2026. Forecasters rate the seat solid or safe Democratic ahead of the November general election against Republican nominee Cleophus Dulaney. Trader consensus at these levels aligns with historical performance in the district and the absence of recent developments that would shift the balance. Potential scenarios that could still affect the outcome include significant late-cycle national political shifts, unexpected candidate health or ethics issues, or unusually high turnout among one party's base that exceeds modeled expectations.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGanador de las elecciones de la Cámara OH-03
Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara OH-03
$35,067 Vol.
$35,067 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Demócrata
95%
Partido Republicano
6%
$35,067 Vol.
$35,067 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Demócrata
$29,267 Vol.
95%
Partido Republicano
$5,800 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The commanding position of the Democratic nominee in Ohio's 3rd congressional district stems from its consistent D+20 or greater partisan lean, anchored in the Columbus area, combined with incumbent Joyce Beatty's primary victory over challenger Joe Gerard in May 2026. Forecasters rate the seat solid or safe Democratic ahead of the November general election against Republican nominee Cleophus Dulaney. Trader consensus at these levels aligns with historical performance in the district and the absence of recent developments that would shift the balance. Potential scenarios that could still affect the outcome include significant late-cycle national political shifts, unexpected candidate health or ethics issues, or unusually high turnout among one party's base that exceeds modeled expectations.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volumen
$35,067Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The commanding position of the Democratic nominee in Ohio's 3rd congressional district stems from its consistent D+20 or greater partisan lean, anchored in the Columbus area, combined with incumbent Joyce Beatty's primary victory over challenger Joe Gerard in May 2026. Forecasters rate the seat solid or safe Democratic ahead of the November general election against Republican nominee Cleophus Dulaney. Trader consensus at these levels aligns with historical performance in the district and the absence of recent developments that would shift the balance. Potential scenarios that could still affect the outcome include significant late-cycle national political shifts, unexpected candidate health or ethics issues, or unusually high turnout among one party's base that exceeds modeled expectations.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$35,067Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The commanding position of the Democratic nominee in Ohio's 3rd congressional district stems from its consistent D+20 or greater partisan lean, anchored in the Columbus area, combined with incumbent Joyce Beatty's primary victory over challenger Joe Gerard in May 2026. Forecasters rate the seat solid or safe Democratic ahead of the November general election against Republican nominee Cleophus Dulaney. Trader consensus at these levels aligns with historical performance in the district and the absence of recent developments that would shift the balance. Potential scenarios that could still affect the outcome include significant late-cycle national political shifts, unexpected candidate health or ethics issues, or unusually high turnout among one party's base that exceeds modeled expectations.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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