Incumbent Democrat Nanette Barragán advanced from the June 2026 top-two primary with roughly 77 percent of the vote against Republican Genevieve Angel, setting up a general election matchup in a district rated Solid Democratic by Cook Political Report, Sabato’s Crystal Ball, and other forecasters. The area’s consistent D+19 partisan lean, Democratic voter registration advantage, and Barragán’s prior election margins underpin trader consensus reflected in the 97.5 percent Democratic price. No competitive polling or major campaign developments have emerged since the primary to suggest movement. A Republican victory would require either an unprecedented national partisan swing or an unforeseen event affecting the incumbent that overrides the district’s structural fundamentals.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoCA-44 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
CA-44 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
$46,613 Vol.
$46,613 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Partido Demócrata
97%
Partido Republicano
2%
$46,613 Vol.
$46,613 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Partido Demócrata
$21,673 Vol.
97%
Partido Republicano
$24,940 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-44 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Nanette Barragán advanced from the June 2026 top-two primary with roughly 77 percent of the vote against Republican Genevieve Angel, setting up a general election matchup in a district rated Solid Democratic by Cook Political Report, Sabato’s Crystal Ball, and other forecasters. The area’s consistent D+19 partisan lean, Democratic voter registration advantage, and Barragán’s prior election margins underpin trader consensus reflected in the 97.5 percent Democratic price. No competitive polling or major campaign developments have emerged since the primary to suggest movement. A Republican victory would require either an unprecedented national partisan swing or an unforeseen event affecting the incumbent that overrides the district’s structural fundamentals.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-44 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 10:29 AM ET
Volumen
$46,613Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 10:29 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-44 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Nanette Barragán advanced from the June 2026 top-two primary with roughly 77 percent of the vote against Republican Genevieve Angel, setting up a general election matchup in a district rated Solid Democratic by Cook Political Report, Sabato’s Crystal Ball, and other forecasters. The area’s consistent D+19 partisan lean, Democratic voter registration advantage, and Barragán’s prior election margins underpin trader consensus reflected in the 97.5 percent Democratic price. No competitive polling or major campaign developments have emerged since the primary to suggest movement. A Republican victory would require either an unprecedented national partisan swing or an unforeseen event affecting the incumbent that overrides the district’s structural fundamentals.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-44 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$46,613Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 10:29 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Nanette Barragán advanced from the June 2026 top-two primary with roughly 77 percent of the vote against Republican Genevieve Angel, setting up a general election matchup in a district rated Solid Democratic by Cook Political Report, Sabato’s Crystal Ball, and other forecasters. The area’s consistent D+19 partisan lean, Democratic voter registration advantage, and Barragán’s prior election margins underpin trader consensus reflected in the 97.5 percent Democratic price. No competitive polling or major campaign developments have emerged since the primary to suggest movement. A Republican victory would require either an unprecedented national partisan swing or an unforeseen event affecting the incumbent that overrides the district’s structural fundamentals.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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