Incumbent Maxine Waters secured the top spot in California's June 2 nonpartisan primary for the 43rd congressional district, advancing to the November general election against Republican challenger Cristian Morales. The district's strong Democratic tilt, reflected in consistent nonpartisan ratings of solid or safe Democratic, combined with Waters' decades-long incumbency and primary margin exceeding 40 points, underpins the current trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Historical election results in the seat and voter registration patterns further reinforce this positioning. Late developments such as an unexpected withdrawal, significant health event, or unforeseen scandal could still shift dynamics before the general election, though such factors remain low-probability based on available information.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoCA-43 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
CA-43 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
$24,001 Vol.
$24,001 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Demócrata
94%
Partido Republicano
5%
$24,001 Vol.
$24,001 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Demócrata
$9,434 Vol.
94%
Partido Republicano
$14,567 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-43 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Maxine Waters secured the top spot in California's June 2 nonpartisan primary for the 43rd congressional district, advancing to the November general election against Republican challenger Cristian Morales. The district's strong Democratic tilt, reflected in consistent nonpartisan ratings of solid or safe Democratic, combined with Waters' decades-long incumbency and primary margin exceeding 40 points, underpins the current trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Historical election results in the seat and voter registration patterns further reinforce this positioning. Late developments such as an unexpected withdrawal, significant health event, or unforeseen scandal could still shift dynamics before the general election, though such factors remain low-probability based on available information.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-43 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 10:29 AM ET
Volumen
$24,001Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 10:29 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-43 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Maxine Waters secured the top spot in California's June 2 nonpartisan primary for the 43rd congressional district, advancing to the November general election against Republican challenger Cristian Morales. The district's strong Democratic tilt, reflected in consistent nonpartisan ratings of solid or safe Democratic, combined with Waters' decades-long incumbency and primary margin exceeding 40 points, underpins the current trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Historical election results in the seat and voter registration patterns further reinforce this positioning. Late developments such as an unexpected withdrawal, significant health event, or unforeseen scandal could still shift dynamics before the general election, though such factors remain low-probability based on available information.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-43 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$24,001Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 10:29 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Maxine Waters secured the top spot in California's June 2 nonpartisan primary for the 43rd congressional district, advancing to the November general election against Republican challenger Cristian Morales. The district's strong Democratic tilt, reflected in consistent nonpartisan ratings of solid or safe Democratic, combined with Waters' decades-long incumbency and primary margin exceeding 40 points, underpins the current trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Historical election results in the seat and voter registration patterns further reinforce this positioning. Late developments such as an unexpected withdrawal, significant health event, or unforeseen scandal could still shift dynamics before the general election, though such factors remain low-probability based on available information.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes