Jill Tokuda holds a commanding position in the Hawaii 2nd Congressional District Democratic primary due to her status as the two-term incumbent in a solidly Democratic seat, substantial fundraising advantage exceeding $600,000 in cash on hand, and broad party endorsements. Her three challengers—Kirill Basin, Greg Guithues, and Steven King—remain low-profile with minimal reported contributions and limited visibility ahead of the August 8 primary. Recent developments, including Basin’s arrest, further reduced any competitive pressure. Trader consensus at 100% for Tokuda reflects these structural barriers; late shifts would require major unforeseen events such as a significant scandal or withdrawal before results are finalized.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoJill Tokuda 100.0%
Kirill Basin 2.2%
Greg Guithues <1%
Steven King <1%
$7,021 Vol.
$7,021 Vol.
8 ago 2026
Jill Tokuda
Sí
Kirill Basin
No
Greg Guithues
No
Steven King
No
Jill Tokuda 100.0%
Kirill Basin 2.2%
Greg Guithues <1%
Steven King <1%
$7,021 Vol.
$7,021 Vol.
8 ago 2026
Jill Tokuda
$5,504 Vol.
Sí
Kirill Basin
$792 Vol.
No
Greg Guithues
$360 Vol.
No
Steven King
$364 Vol.
No
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the HI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 8, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Jill Tokuda holds a commanding position in the Hawaii 2nd Congressional District Democratic primary due to her status as the two-term incumbent in a solidly Democratic seat, substantial fundraising advantage exceeding $600,000 in cash on hand, and broad party endorsements. Her three challengers—Kirill Basin, Greg Guithues, and Steven King—remain low-profile with minimal reported contributions and limited visibility ahead of the August 8 primary. Recent developments, including Basin’s arrest, further reduced any competitive pressure. Trader consensus at 100% for Tokuda reflects these structural barriers; late shifts would require major unforeseen events such as a significant scandal or withdrawal before results are finalized.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the HI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 8, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Mercado abierto: Jul 20, 2026, 6:03 PM ET
Volumen
$7,021Fecha de finalización
8 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Jul 20, 2026, 6:03 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: Sí
Sin disputa
Resultado final: Sí
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the HI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 8, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Jill Tokuda holds a commanding position in the Hawaii 2nd Congressional District Democratic primary due to her status as the two-term incumbent in a solidly Democratic seat, substantial fundraising advantage exceeding $600,000 in cash on hand, and broad party endorsements. Her three challengers—Kirill Basin, Greg Guithues, and Steven King—remain low-profile with minimal reported contributions and limited visibility ahead of the August 8 primary. Recent developments, including Basin’s arrest, further reduced any competitive pressure. Trader consensus at 100% for Tokuda reflects these structural barriers; late shifts would require major unforeseen events such as a significant scandal or withdrawal before results are finalized.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the HI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 8, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volumen
$7,021Fecha de finalización
8 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Jul 20, 2026, 6:03 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: Sí
Sin disputa
Resultado final: Sí
Jill Tokuda holds a commanding position in the Hawaii 2nd Congressional District Democratic primary due to her status as the two-term incumbent in a solidly Democratic seat, substantial fundraising advantage exceeding $600,000 in cash on hand, and broad party endorsements. Her three challengers—Kirill Basin, Greg Guithues, and Steven King—remain low-profile with minimal reported contributions and limited visibility ahead of the August 8 primary. Recent developments, including Basin’s arrest, further reduced any competitive pressure. Trader consensus at 100% for Tokuda reflects these structural barriers; late shifts would require major unforeseen events such as a significant scandal or withdrawal before results are finalized.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes