Talarico leads Denton County probabilities at 68.5% amid a tight statewide Texas Senate contest against Paxton, who sits at 43%. Recent polling through mid-September shows Talarico holding narrow edges or ties overall, driven by stronger support among suburban independents, Hispanic voters, and moderates in areas like Denton County north of Dallas. Paxton's decisive primary runoff win there over Cornyn has not fully translated to the general election, where Democratic consolidation and fundraising advantages have narrowed historical Republican margins. Multiple minor candidates and "other" options remain at even odds, reflecting low expectations for breakthroughs. The November 3 contest hinges on turnout patterns in this competitive suburban county.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoNUEVO
NUEVO
3 nov 2026
James Talarico (D)
67%
Ken Paxton (R)
43%
NUEVO
NUEVO
3 nov 2026
James Talarico (D)
$20 Vol.
67%
Ken Paxton (R)
$60 Vol.
43%
This market will resolve according to the party nominee or independent candidate that receives the most valid votes from Denton County in the general election for United States Senator from Texas, which is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties are named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other."
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Texas, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Denton County.Talarico leads Denton County probabilities at 68.5% amid a tight statewide Texas Senate contest against Paxton, who sits at 43%. Recent polling through mid-September shows Talarico holding narrow edges or ties overall, driven by stronger support among suburban independents, Hispanic voters, and moderates in areas like Denton County north of Dallas. Paxton's decisive primary runoff win there over Cornyn has not fully translated to the general election, where Democratic consolidation and fundraising advantages have narrowed historical Republican margins. Multiple minor candidates and "other" options remain at even odds, reflecting low expectations for breakthroughs. The November 3 contest hinges on turnout patterns in this competitive suburban county.
This market will resolve according to the party nominee or independent candidate that receives the most valid votes from Denton County in the general election for United States Senator from Texas, which is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties are named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other."
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Texas, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Denton County.
The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties are named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other."
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Texas, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Denton County.
Mercado abierto: Sep 22, 2026, 12:20 PM ET
Volumen
$80Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 22, 2026, 12:20 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the party nominee or independent candidate that receives the most valid votes from Denton County in the general election for United States Senator from Texas, which is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties are named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other."
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Texas, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Denton County.Talarico leads Denton County probabilities at 68.5% amid a tight statewide Texas Senate contest against Paxton, who sits at 43%. Recent polling through mid-September shows Talarico holding narrow edges or ties overall, driven by stronger support among suburban independents, Hispanic voters, and moderates in areas like Denton County north of Dallas. Paxton's decisive primary runoff win there over Cornyn has not fully translated to the general election, where Democratic consolidation and fundraising advantages have narrowed historical Republican margins. Multiple minor candidates and "other" options remain at even odds, reflecting low expectations for breakthroughs. The November 3 contest hinges on turnout patterns in this competitive suburban county.
This market will resolve according to the party nominee or independent candidate that receives the most valid votes from Denton County in the general election for United States Senator from Texas, which is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties are named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other."
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Texas, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Denton County.
The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties are named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other."
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Texas, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Denton County.
Volumen
$80Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 22, 2026, 12:20 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Talarico leads Denton County probabilities at 68.5% amid a tight statewide Texas Senate contest against Paxton, who sits at 43%. Recent polling through mid-September shows Talarico holding narrow edges or ties overall, driven by stronger support among suburban independents, Hispanic voters, and moderates in areas like Denton County north of Dallas. Paxton's decisive primary runoff win there over Cornyn has not fully translated to the general election, where Democratic consolidation and fundraising advantages have narrowed historical Republican margins. Multiple minor candidates and "other" options remain at even odds, reflecting low expectations for breakthroughs. The November 3 contest hinges on turnout patterns in this competitive suburban county.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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