Florida's status as a Republican-leaning state, with no Democratic governor since 1998 and recent general election margins favoring the party, underpins trader consensus on a Republican victory in the 2026 gubernatorial election. Term limits prevent incumbent Ron DeSantis from seeking a third consecutive term, opening the race, yet Republican primary polling shows Rep. Byron Donalds maintaining a commanding lead over other contenders. Major forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Republican. In hypothetical November matchups, Republican candidates lead Democratic frontrunners such as David Jolly by 8-9 points in recent surveys, while Democratic primary support remains fragmented with high undecided shares. These dynamics have kept implied probabilities stable ahead of the August primaries and November vote.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGanador de la elección de gobernador de Florida
Ganador de la elección de gobernador de Florida
$21,163 Vol.
$21,163 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Republicano
79%
Demócrata
22%
$21,163 Vol.
$21,163 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Republicano
$8,390 Vol.
79%
Demócrata
$12,774 Vol.
22%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Florida's status as a Republican-leaning state, with no Democratic governor since 1998 and recent general election margins favoring the party, underpins trader consensus on a Republican victory in the 2026 gubernatorial election. Term limits prevent incumbent Ron DeSantis from seeking a third consecutive term, opening the race, yet Republican primary polling shows Rep. Byron Donalds maintaining a commanding lead over other contenders. Major forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Republican. In hypothetical November matchups, Republican candidates lead Democratic frontrunners such as David Jolly by 8-9 points in recent surveys, while Democratic primary support remains fragmented with high undecided shares. These dynamics have kept implied probabilities stable ahead of the August primaries and November vote.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Mercado abierto: Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ET
Volumen
$21,163Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Florida's status as a Republican-leaning state, with no Democratic governor since 1998 and recent general election margins favoring the party, underpins trader consensus on a Republican victory in the 2026 gubernatorial election. Term limits prevent incumbent Ron DeSantis from seeking a third consecutive term, opening the race, yet Republican primary polling shows Rep. Byron Donalds maintaining a commanding lead over other contenders. Major forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Republican. In hypothetical November matchups, Republican candidates lead Democratic frontrunners such as David Jolly by 8-9 points in recent surveys, while Democratic primary support remains fragmented with high undecided shares. These dynamics have kept implied probabilities stable ahead of the August primaries and November vote.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volumen
$21,163Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Florida's status as a Republican-leaning state, with no Democratic governor since 1998 and recent general election margins favoring the party, underpins trader consensus on a Republican victory in the 2026 gubernatorial election. Term limits prevent incumbent Ron DeSantis from seeking a third consecutive term, opening the race, yet Republican primary polling shows Rep. Byron Donalds maintaining a commanding lead over other contenders. Major forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Republican. In hypothetical November matchups, Republican candidates lead Democratic frontrunners such as David Jolly by 8-9 points in recent surveys, while Democratic primary support remains fragmented with high undecided shares. These dynamics have kept implied probabilities stable ahead of the August primaries and November vote.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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