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icon for ¿El favorito del control de la casa el 2 de noviembre?

¿El favorito del control de la casa el 2 de noviembre?

icon for ¿El favorito del control de la casa el 2 de noviembre?

¿El favorito del control de la casa el 2 de noviembre?

Partido Demócrata

95% probabilidad
Polymarket
NUEVO

Partido Demócrata

95% probabilidad
Polymarket
NUEVO
This market will resolve to "Democratic Party" if the Democratic Party's hourly odds value is higher than the Republican Party's hourly odds value in the "House Control 2026" listing on PredictionMarketOdds.com for the "Time Window (ET)" ending at 11:00 PM ET on November 2, 2026. This market will resolve to "Republican Party" if the Republican Party's hourly odds value is higher than the Democratic Party's hourly odds value in the "House Control 2026" listing on PredictionMarketOdds.com for the "Time Window (ET)" ending at 11:00 PM ET on November 2, 2026. If the Democratic Party's and the Republican Party's hourly odds values are equal for that "Time Window (ET)", this market will resolve 50-50. An hourly odds value is the value in the "Odds of Happening" column that PredictionMarketOdds.com publishes for an option for a one-hour "Time Window (ET)", as shown on the listing page and in the "Odds History" graph. Hourly odds values are compared at the precision published by PredictionMarketOdds.com (one tenth of a percent). If no hourly odds value is published for an option for the specified window (shown as "NO_PRINT"), that option's most recent published hourly odds value will be used. If PredictionMarketOdds.com permanently ceases publishing hourly odds values for the Democratic Party or the Republican Party in the "House Control 2026" listing before the specified window, including by removing either option from the listing, this market will resolve based on the hourly odds values published up to that point. If no hourly odds value is published for either of the options between market creation and the end of the specified window, this market will resolve 50-50. If the underlying market is officially decided before the listed date and time, this market will resolve in favor of the listed option which resolves "Yes". If the winning outcome is neither listed option, this market will resolve 50-50. If a published hourly odds value is clearly erroneous as a result of a technical or operational error, this market may remain open for up to an additional 48 hours after that value is first published to allow for a correction. A corrected value will be used in place of the original. If no correction is published within that period, the original value will stand, and revisions published after that period will not be considered. The resolution source for this market is PredictionMarketOdds.com, specifically the hourly odds values for the Democratic Party and the Republican Party in the "House Control 2026" listing at https://predictionmarketodds.com/house-control-2026.html and on each option's detail page, reached by clicking the option's name in the listing. Prices shown on any individual prediction market will not be considered.**Democratic control of the House in the 2026 midterms sits at 95% in this market, driven primarily by consistent Democratic leads on the generic congressional ballot of roughly 7–9 points in recent national polling.** Forecasts from models including the Economist and independent aggregators place Democratic odds at 90–95%, reflecting a national environment where the president's party historically loses seats in midterms. Recent polls show momentum building for Democrats in competitive districts, with structural factors such as retirements and fundraising patterns reinforcing the positioning even after mid-cycle redistricting in several states. Election day is November 3, 2026, and the market resolves based on final seat outcomes.

This market will resolve to "Democratic Party" if the Democratic Party's hourly odds value is higher than the Republican Party's hourly odds value in the "House Control 2026" listing on PredictionMarketOdds.com for the "Time Window (ET)" ending at 11:00 PM ET on November 2, 2026.

This market will resolve to "Republican Party" if the Republican Party's hourly odds value is higher than the Democratic Party's hourly odds value in the "House Control 2026" listing on PredictionMarketOdds.com for the "Time Window (ET)" ending at 11:00 PM ET on November 2, 2026.

If the Democratic Party's and the Republican Party's hourly odds values are equal for that "Time Window (ET)", this market will resolve 50-50.

An hourly odds value is the value in the "Odds of Happening" column that PredictionMarketOdds.com publishes for an option for a one-hour "Time Window (ET)", as shown on the listing page and in the "Odds History" graph. Hourly odds values are compared at the precision published by PredictionMarketOdds.com (one tenth of a percent).

If no hourly odds value is published for an option for the specified window (shown as "NO_PRINT"), that option's most recent published hourly odds value will be used. If PredictionMarketOdds.com permanently ceases publishing hourly odds values for the Democratic Party or the Republican Party in the "House Control 2026" listing before the specified window, including by removing either option from the listing, this market will resolve based on the hourly odds values published up to that point.

If no hourly odds value is published for either of the options between market creation and the end of the specified window, this market will resolve 50-50.

If the underlying market is officially decided before the listed date and time, this market will resolve in favor of the listed option which resolves "Yes". If the winning outcome is neither listed option, this market will resolve 50-50.

If a published hourly odds value is clearly erroneous as a result of a technical or operational error, this market may remain open for up to an additional 48 hours after that value is first published to allow for a correction. A corrected value will be used in place of the original. If no correction is published within that period, the original value will stand, and revisions published after that period will not be considered.

The resolution source for this market is PredictionMarketOdds.com, specifically the hourly odds values for the Democratic Party and the Republican Party in the "House Control 2026" listing at https://predictionmarketodds.com/house-control-2026.html and on each option's detail page, reached by clicking the option's name in the listing. Prices shown on any individual prediction market will not be considered.
This market will resolve to "Democratic Party" if the Democratic Party's hourly odds value is higher than the Republican Party's hourly odds value in the "House Control 2026" listing on PredictionMarketOdds.com for the "Time Window (ET)" ending at 11:00 PM ET on November 2, 2026. This market will resolve to "Republican Party" if the Republican Party's hourly odds value is higher than the Democratic Party's hourly odds value in the "House Control 2026" listing on PredictionMarketOdds.com for the "Time Window (ET)" ending at 11:00 PM ET on November 2, 2026. If the Democratic Party's and the Republican Party's hourly odds values are equal for that "Time Window (ET)", this market will resolve 50-50. An hourly odds value is the value in the "Odds of Happening" column that PredictionMarketOdds.com publishes for an option for a one-hour "Time Window (ET)", as shown on the listing page and in the "Odds History" graph. Hourly odds values are compared at the precision published by PredictionMarketOdds.com (one tenth of a percent). If no hourly odds value is published for an option for the specified window (shown as "NO_PRINT"), that option's most recent published hourly odds value will be used. If PredictionMarketOdds.com permanently ceases publishing hourly odds values for the Democratic Party or the Republican Party in the "House Control 2026" listing before the specified window, including by removing either option from the listing, this market will resolve based on the hourly odds values published up to that point. If no hourly odds value is published for either of the options between market creation and the end of the specified window, this market will resolve 50-50. If the underlying market is officially decided before the listed date and time, this market will resolve in favor of the listed option which resolves "Yes". If the winning outcome is neither listed option, this market will resolve 50-50. If a published hourly odds value is clearly erroneous as a result of a technical or operational error, this market may remain open for up to an additional 48 hours after that value is first published to allow for a correction. A corrected value will be used in place of the original. If no correction is published within that period, the original value will stand, and revisions published after that period will not be considered. The resolution source for this market is PredictionMarketOdds.com, specifically the hourly odds values for the Democratic Party and the Republican Party in the "House Control 2026" listing at https://predictionmarketodds.com/house-control-2026.html and on each option's detail page, reached by clicking the option's name in the listing. Prices shown on any individual prediction market will not be considered.
Volumen
$30
Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026
Mercado abierto
Sep 21, 2026, 9:21 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Democratic Party" if the Democratic Party's hourly odds value is higher than the Republican Party's hourly odds value in the "House Control 2026" listing on PredictionMarketOdds.com for the "Time Window (ET)" ending at 11:00 PM ET on November 2, 2026. This market will resolve to "Republican Party" if the Republican Party's hourly odds value is higher than the Democratic Party's hourly odds value in the "House Control 2026" listing on PredictionMarketOdds.com for the "Time Window (ET)" ending at 11:00 PM ET on November 2, 2026. If the Democratic Party's and the Republican Party's hourly odds values are equal for that "Time Window (ET)", this market will resolve 50-50. An hourly odds value is the value in the "Odds of Happening" column that PredictionMarketOdds.com publishes for an option for a one-hour "Time Window (ET)", as shown on the listing page and in the "Odds History" graph. Hourly odds values are compared at the precision published by PredictionMarketOdds.com (one tenth of a percent). If no hourly odds value is published for an option for the specified window (shown as "NO_PRINT"), that option's most recent published hourly odds value will be used. If PredictionMarketOdds.com permanently ceases publishing hourly odds values for the Democratic Party or the Republican Party in the "House Control 2026" listing before the specified window, including by removing either option from the listing, this market will resolve based on the hourly odds values published up to that point. If no hourly odds value is published for either of the options between market creation and the end of the specified window, this market will resolve 50-50. If the underlying market is officially decided before the listed date and time, this market will resolve in favor of the listed option which resolves "Yes". If the winning outcome is neither listed option, this market will resolve 50-50. If a published hourly odds value is clearly erroneous as a result of a technical or operational error, this market may remain open for up to an additional 48 hours after that value is first published to allow for a correction. A corrected value will be used in place of the original. If no correction is published within that period, the original value will stand, and revisions published after that period will not be considered. The resolution source for this market is PredictionMarketOdds.com, specifically the hourly odds values for the Democratic Party and the Republican Party in the "House Control 2026" listing at https://predictionmarketodds.com/house-control-2026.html and on each option's detail page, reached by clicking the option's name in the listing. Prices shown on any individual prediction market will not be considered.**Democratic control of the House in the 2026 midterms sits at 95% in this market, driven primarily by consistent Democratic leads on the generic congressional ballot of roughly 7–9 points in recent national polling.** Forecasts from models including the Economist and independent aggregators place Democratic odds at 90–95%, reflecting a national environment where the president's party historically loses seats in midterms. Recent polls show momentum building for Democrats in competitive districts, with structural factors such as retirements and fundraising patterns reinforcing the positioning even after mid-cycle redistricting in several states. Election day is November 3, 2026, and the market resolves based on final seat outcomes.

This market will resolve to "Democratic Party" if the Democratic Party's hourly odds value is higher than the Republican Party's hourly odds value in the "House Control 2026" listing on PredictionMarketOdds.com for the "Time Window (ET)" ending at 11:00 PM ET on November 2, 2026.

This market will resolve to "Republican Party" if the Republican Party's hourly odds value is higher than the Democratic Party's hourly odds value in the "House Control 2026" listing on PredictionMarketOdds.com for the "Time Window (ET)" ending at 11:00 PM ET on November 2, 2026.

If the Democratic Party's and the Republican Party's hourly odds values are equal for that "Time Window (ET)", this market will resolve 50-50.

An hourly odds value is the value in the "Odds of Happening" column that PredictionMarketOdds.com publishes for an option for a one-hour "Time Window (ET)", as shown on the listing page and in the "Odds History" graph. Hourly odds values are compared at the precision published by PredictionMarketOdds.com (one tenth of a percent).

If no hourly odds value is published for an option for the specified window (shown as "NO_PRINT"), that option's most recent published hourly odds value will be used. If PredictionMarketOdds.com permanently ceases publishing hourly odds values for the Democratic Party or the Republican Party in the "House Control 2026" listing before the specified window, including by removing either option from the listing, this market will resolve based on the hourly odds values published up to that point.

If no hourly odds value is published for either of the options between market creation and the end of the specified window, this market will resolve 50-50.

If the underlying market is officially decided before the listed date and time, this market will resolve in favor of the listed option which resolves "Yes". If the winning outcome is neither listed option, this market will resolve 50-50.

If a published hourly odds value is clearly erroneous as a result of a technical or operational error, this market may remain open for up to an additional 48 hours after that value is first published to allow for a correction. A corrected value will be used in place of the original. If no correction is published within that period, the original value will stand, and revisions published after that period will not be considered.

The resolution source for this market is PredictionMarketOdds.com, specifically the hourly odds values for the Democratic Party and the Republican Party in the "House Control 2026" listing at https://predictionmarketodds.com/house-control-2026.html and on each option's detail page, reached by clicking the option's name in the listing. Prices shown on any individual prediction market will not be considered.
This market will resolve to "Democratic Party" if the Democratic Party's hourly odds value is higher than the Republican Party's hourly odds value in the "House Control 2026" listing on PredictionMarketOdds.com for the "Time Window (ET)" ending at 11:00 PM ET on November 2, 2026. This market will resolve to "Republican Party" if the Republican Party's hourly odds value is higher than the Democratic Party's hourly odds value in the "House Control 2026" listing on PredictionMarketOdds.com for the "Time Window (ET)" ending at 11:00 PM ET on November 2, 2026. If the Democratic Party's and the Republican Party's hourly odds values are equal for that "Time Window (ET)", this market will resolve 50-50. An hourly odds value is the value in the "Odds of Happening" column that PredictionMarketOdds.com publishes for an option for a one-hour "Time Window (ET)", as shown on the listing page and in the "Odds History" graph. Hourly odds values are compared at the precision published by PredictionMarketOdds.com (one tenth of a percent). If no hourly odds value is published for an option for the specified window (shown as "NO_PRINT"), that option's most recent published hourly odds value will be used. If PredictionMarketOdds.com permanently ceases publishing hourly odds values for the Democratic Party or the Republican Party in the "House Control 2026" listing before the specified window, including by removing either option from the listing, this market will resolve based on the hourly odds values published up to that point. If no hourly odds value is published for either of the options between market creation and the end of the specified window, this market will resolve 50-50. If the underlying market is officially decided before the listed date and time, this market will resolve in favor of the listed option which resolves "Yes". If the winning outcome is neither listed option, this market will resolve 50-50. If a published hourly odds value is clearly erroneous as a result of a technical or operational error, this market may remain open for up to an additional 48 hours after that value is first published to allow for a correction. A corrected value will be used in place of the original. If no correction is published within that period, the original value will stand, and revisions published after that period will not be considered. The resolution source for this market is PredictionMarketOdds.com, specifically the hourly odds values for the Democratic Party and the Republican Party in the "House Control 2026" listing at https://predictionmarketodds.com/house-control-2026.html and on each option's detail page, reached by clicking the option's name in the listing. Prices shown on any individual prediction market will not be considered.
Volumen
$30
Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026
Mercado abierto
Sep 21, 2026, 9:21 PM ET

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿El favorito del control de la casa el 2 de noviembre?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 2 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "¿Favorito para controlar la Cámara el 2 de noviembre?" con 95%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 95¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 95% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"¿El favorito del control de la casa el 2 de noviembre?" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el Sep 21, 2026. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "¿El favorito del control de la casa el 2 de noviembre?", explora los 2 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "¿El favorito del control de la casa el 2 de noviembre?" es "¿Favorito para controlar la Cámara el 2 de noviembre?" con 95%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 95% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿El favorito del control de la casa el 2 de noviembre?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.