Incumbent Republican Ann Wagner secured her party's nomination with nearly 74% in the August 4 primary, facing Democrat Fred Wellman, who narrowly won his contest. The district carries an R+6 Partisan Voter Index and consistent Republican performance in recent cycles, including Wagner's 2024 reelection. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Likely Republican, citing its suburban St. Louis composition and limited Democratic inroads despite one May poll showing a narrow head-to-head. These structural factors, combined with the absence of major post-primary shifts, underpin trader pricing that assigns Republicans the stronger position heading into the November general election.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoMO-02 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
MO-02 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
NUEVO
NUEVO
2 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
65%
Partido Demócrata
34%
NUEVO
NUEVO
2 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
$4,938 Vol.
65%
Partido Demócrata
$4,262 Vol.
34%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Ann Wagner secured her party's nomination with nearly 74% in the August 4 primary, facing Democrat Fred Wellman, who narrowly won his contest. The district carries an R+6 Partisan Voter Index and consistent Republican performance in recent cycles, including Wagner's 2024 reelection. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Likely Republican, citing its suburban St. Louis composition and limited Democratic inroads despite one May poll showing a narrow head-to-head. These structural factors, combined with the absence of major post-primary shifts, underpin trader pricing that assigns Republicans the stronger position heading into the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volumen
$9,201Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Ann Wagner secured her party's nomination with nearly 74% in the August 4 primary, facing Democrat Fred Wellman, who narrowly won his contest. The district carries an R+6 Partisan Voter Index and consistent Republican performance in recent cycles, including Wagner's 2024 reelection. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Likely Republican, citing its suburban St. Louis composition and limited Democratic inroads despite one May poll showing a narrow head-to-head. These structural factors, combined with the absence of major post-primary shifts, underpin trader pricing that assigns Republicans the stronger position heading into the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$9,201Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Ann Wagner secured her party's nomination with nearly 74% in the August 4 primary, facing Democrat Fred Wellman, who narrowly won his contest. The district carries an R+6 Partisan Voter Index and consistent Republican performance in recent cycles, including Wagner's 2024 reelection. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Likely Republican, citing its suburban St. Louis composition and limited Democratic inroads despite one May poll showing a narrow head-to-head. These structural factors, combined with the absence of major post-primary shifts, underpin trader pricing that assigns Republicans the stronger position heading into the November general election.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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