Recent polling averages place National and Labour nearly tied on party vote near 30 percent each ahead of the November 7 election, with the right bloc (National, ACT, NZ First) and left bloc (Labour, Greens, Te Pāti Māori) both projected near or below the 62-seat threshold in many simulations. Incumbent Prime Minister Christopher Luxon’s government has seen National support slip below 30 percent in several surveys amid leadership questions and coalition tensions, while Labour under Chris Hipkins has shown resilience in select polls despite internal challenges. Minor parties including the Opportunities Party hover near the 5 percent threshold and could act as kingmakers, though National has ruled out cooperation. Traders price Labour slightly ahead, consistent with the narrow and volatile contest reflected in the latest aggregates.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoNew Zealand legislative election winner?
New Zealand legislative election winner?
Labour Party 56%
National Party 44%
Green Party <1%
ACT New Zealand <1%
$59,687 Vol.
$59,687 Vol.
6 nov 2026
National Party
44%
Labour Party
56%
Green Party
<1%
ACT New Zealand
<1%
New Zealand First Party
<1%
Te Pāti Māori
<1%
Labour Party 56%
National Party 44%
Green Party <1%
ACT New Zealand <1%
$59,687 Vol.
$59,687 Vol.
6 nov 2026
National Party
$24,334 Vol.
44%
Labour Party
$19,161 Vol.
56%
Green Party
$4,208 Vol.
<1%
ACT New Zealand
$4,166 Vol.
<1%
New Zealand First Party
$3,571 Vol.
<1%
Te Pāti Māori
$4,245 Vol.
<1%
A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid party list votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).Recent polling averages place National and Labour nearly tied on party vote near 30 percent each ahead of the November 7 election, with the right bloc (National, ACT, NZ First) and left bloc (Labour, Greens, Te Pāti Māori) both projected near or below the 62-seat threshold in many simulations. Incumbent Prime Minister Christopher Luxon’s government has seen National support slip below 30 percent in several surveys amid leadership questions and coalition tensions, while Labour under Chris Hipkins has shown resilience in select polls despite internal challenges. Minor parties including the Opportunities Party hover near the 5 percent threshold and could act as kingmakers, though National has ruled out cooperation. Traders price Labour slightly ahead, consistent with the narrow and volatile contest reflected in the latest aggregates.
A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid party list votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid party list votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).
Mercado abierto: Apr 29, 2026, 7:35 PM ET
Volumen
$59,687Fecha de finalización
7 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 29, 2026, 7:35 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid party list votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).Recent polling averages place National and Labour nearly tied on party vote near 30 percent each ahead of the November 7 election, with the right bloc (National, ACT, NZ First) and left bloc (Labour, Greens, Te Pāti Māori) both projected near or below the 62-seat threshold in many simulations. Incumbent Prime Minister Christopher Luxon’s government has seen National support slip below 30 percent in several surveys amid leadership questions and coalition tensions, while Labour under Chris Hipkins has shown resilience in select polls despite internal challenges. Minor parties including the Opportunities Party hover near the 5 percent threshold and could act as kingmakers, though National has ruled out cooperation. Traders price Labour slightly ahead, consistent with the narrow and volatile contest reflected in the latest aggregates.
A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid party list votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid party list votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).
Volumen
$59,687Fecha de finalización
7 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 29, 2026, 7:35 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling averages place National and Labour nearly tied on party vote near 30 percent each ahead of the November 7 election, with the right bloc (National, ACT, NZ First) and left bloc (Labour, Greens, Te Pāti Māori) both projected near or below the 62-seat threshold in many simulations. Incumbent Prime Minister Christopher Luxon’s government has seen National support slip below 30 percent in several surveys amid leadership questions and coalition tensions, while Labour under Chris Hipkins has shown resilience in select polls despite internal challenges. Minor parties including the Opportunities Party hover near the 5 percent threshold and could act as kingmakers, though National has ruled out cooperation. Traders price Labour slightly ahead, consistent with the narrow and volatile contest reflected in the latest aggregates.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoRelacionado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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