Wesley Bell secured the Democratic nomination for Missouri's 1st Congressional District on August 4, 2026, defeating Cori Bush by a 59-37 margin in a primary that confirmed the seat's entrenched partisan alignment. The St. Louis-based district carries a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+29 partisan voting index and consistent ratings as Solid or Safe Democratic from forecasters including the Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball. Republican nominee Paul Berry advanced from a low-turnout primary but faces structural barriers in a district where Democrats have held the seat for decades. Traders assign the Democratic Party a 98.6% implied probability of victory in the November 3 general election, consistent with the absence of competitive polling or recent developments that would narrow the gap. A late-breaking scandal, health issue, or unanticipated court-ordered redistricting could theoretically alter the trajectory, though no such factors have emerged in the current cycle.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoMO-01 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
MO-01 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
$36,566 Vol.
$36,566 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Partido Demócrata
99%
Partido Republicano
1%
$36,566 Vol.
$36,566 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Partido Demócrata
$22,595 Vol.
99%
Partido Republicano
$13,971 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Wesley Bell secured the Democratic nomination for Missouri's 1st Congressional District on August 4, 2026, defeating Cori Bush by a 59-37 margin in a primary that confirmed the seat's entrenched partisan alignment. The St. Louis-based district carries a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+29 partisan voting index and consistent ratings as Solid or Safe Democratic from forecasters including the Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball. Republican nominee Paul Berry advanced from a low-turnout primary but faces structural barriers in a district where Democrats have held the seat for decades. Traders assign the Democratic Party a 98.6% implied probability of victory in the November 3 general election, consistent with the absence of competitive polling or recent developments that would narrow the gap. A late-breaking scandal, health issue, or unanticipated court-ordered redistricting could theoretically alter the trajectory, though no such factors have emerged in the current cycle.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Volumen
$36,566Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Wesley Bell secured the Democratic nomination for Missouri's 1st Congressional District on August 4, 2026, defeating Cori Bush by a 59-37 margin in a primary that confirmed the seat's entrenched partisan alignment. The St. Louis-based district carries a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+29 partisan voting index and consistent ratings as Solid or Safe Democratic from forecasters including the Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball. Republican nominee Paul Berry advanced from a low-turnout primary but faces structural barriers in a district where Democrats have held the seat for decades. Traders assign the Democratic Party a 98.6% implied probability of victory in the November 3 general election, consistent with the absence of competitive polling or recent developments that would narrow the gap. A late-breaking scandal, health issue, or unanticipated court-ordered redistricting could theoretically alter the trajectory, though no such factors have emerged in the current cycle.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$36,566Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Wesley Bell secured the Democratic nomination for Missouri's 1st Congressional District on August 4, 2026, defeating Cori Bush by a 59-37 margin in a primary that confirmed the seat's entrenched partisan alignment. The St. Louis-based district carries a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+29 partisan voting index and consistent ratings as Solid or Safe Democratic from forecasters including the Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball. Republican nominee Paul Berry advanced from a low-turnout primary but faces structural barriers in a district where Democrats have held the seat for decades. Traders assign the Democratic Party a 98.6% implied probability of victory in the November 3 general election, consistent with the absence of competitive polling or recent developments that would narrow the gap. A late-breaking scandal, health issue, or unanticipated court-ordered redistricting could theoretically alter the trajectory, though no such factors have emerged in the current cycle.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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