Ohio's 11th congressional district has long favored Democratic candidates by wide margins, with Kamala Harris carrying it by over 30 points in 2024 and forecasters rating the 2026 race as solidly Democratic. Incumbent Shontel Brown secured the Democratic nomination in the May 5 primary with 85 percent of the vote against limited opposition, while Republican primary turnout remained low. Redistricting completed in late 2025 preserved the district's partisan composition. These structural factors underpin the current trader consensus reflected in the 96.4 percent probability for the Democratic nominee. A realistic shift would require an unforeseen scandal, health event, or dramatic national swing that overcomes the established voting patterns and incumbency edge ahead of the November general election.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGanador de las elecciones de la Cámara OH-11
Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara OH-11
$27,775 Vol.
$27,775 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Demócrata
96%
Partido Republicano
4%
$27,775 Vol.
$27,775 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Demócrata
$11,838 Vol.
96%
Partido Republicano
$15,937 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Ohio's 11th congressional district has long favored Democratic candidates by wide margins, with Kamala Harris carrying it by over 30 points in 2024 and forecasters rating the 2026 race as solidly Democratic. Incumbent Shontel Brown secured the Democratic nomination in the May 5 primary with 85 percent of the vote against limited opposition, while Republican primary turnout remained low. Redistricting completed in late 2025 preserved the district's partisan composition. These structural factors underpin the current trader consensus reflected in the 96.4 percent probability for the Democratic nominee. A realistic shift would require an unforeseen scandal, health event, or dramatic national swing that overcomes the established voting patterns and incumbency edge ahead of the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volumen
$27,775Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Ohio's 11th congressional district has long favored Democratic candidates by wide margins, with Kamala Harris carrying it by over 30 points in 2024 and forecasters rating the 2026 race as solidly Democratic. Incumbent Shontel Brown secured the Democratic nomination in the May 5 primary with 85 percent of the vote against limited opposition, while Republican primary turnout remained low. Redistricting completed in late 2025 preserved the district's partisan composition. These structural factors underpin the current trader consensus reflected in the 96.4 percent probability for the Democratic nominee. A realistic shift would require an unforeseen scandal, health event, or dramatic national swing that overcomes the established voting patterns and incumbency edge ahead of the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$27,775Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Ohio's 11th congressional district has long favored Democratic candidates by wide margins, with Kamala Harris carrying it by over 30 points in 2024 and forecasters rating the 2026 race as solidly Democratic. Incumbent Shontel Brown secured the Democratic nomination in the May 5 primary with 85 percent of the vote against limited opposition, while Republican primary turnout remained low. Redistricting completed in late 2025 preserved the district's partisan composition. These structural factors underpin the current trader consensus reflected in the 96.4 percent probability for the Democratic nominee. A realistic shift would require an unforeseen scandal, health event, or dramatic national swing that overcomes the established voting patterns and incumbency edge ahead of the November general election.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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