North Dakota’s at-large congressional district remains structurally Republican, with a Cook PVI near R+20 and no Democratic statewide win since 2012. Incumbent Julie Fedorchak secured renomination on June 9 by defeating challenger Alex Balazs, setting up a November rematch against Democrat Trygve Hammer. The state’s rural electorate, energy-sector alignment, and consistent double-digit Republican margins in recent House races underpin the 93.8% implied probability. Trader consensus reflects these baseline conditions rather than short-term polling. A realistic shift would require an unforeseen scandal, health event, or national political realignment large enough to overcome the district’s entrenched partisan lean before November 3.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGanador de las elecciones de la Cámara de Representantes de ND-AL
Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara de Representantes de ND-AL
$40,017 Vol.
$40,017 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
94%
Partido Demócrata
6%
$40,017 Vol.
$40,017 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
$23,604 Vol.
94%
Partido Demócrata
$16,413 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ND-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).North Dakota’s at-large congressional district remains structurally Republican, with a Cook PVI near R+20 and no Democratic statewide win since 2012. Incumbent Julie Fedorchak secured renomination on June 9 by defeating challenger Alex Balazs, setting up a November rematch against Democrat Trygve Hammer. The state’s rural electorate, energy-sector alignment, and consistent double-digit Republican margins in recent House races underpin the 93.8% implied probability. Trader consensus reflects these baseline conditions rather than short-term polling. A realistic shift would require an unforeseen scandal, health event, or national political realignment large enough to overcome the district’s entrenched partisan lean before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ND-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Volumen
$40,017Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ND-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).North Dakota’s at-large congressional district remains structurally Republican, with a Cook PVI near R+20 and no Democratic statewide win since 2012. Incumbent Julie Fedorchak secured renomination on June 9 by defeating challenger Alex Balazs, setting up a November rematch against Democrat Trygve Hammer. The state’s rural electorate, energy-sector alignment, and consistent double-digit Republican margins in recent House races underpin the 93.8% implied probability. Trader consensus reflects these baseline conditions rather than short-term polling. A realistic shift would require an unforeseen scandal, health event, or national political realignment large enough to overcome the district’s entrenched partisan lean before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ND-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$40,017Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...North Dakota’s at-large congressional district remains structurally Republican, with a Cook PVI near R+20 and no Democratic statewide win since 2012. Incumbent Julie Fedorchak secured renomination on June 9 by defeating challenger Alex Balazs, setting up a November rematch against Democrat Trygve Hammer. The state’s rural electorate, energy-sector alignment, and consistent double-digit Republican margins in recent House races underpin the 93.8% implied probability. Trader consensus reflects these baseline conditions rather than short-term polling. A realistic shift would require an unforeseen scandal, health event, or national political realignment large enough to overcome the district’s entrenched partisan lean before November 3.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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