Incumbent Democrat Sara Jacobs advanced from California's June 2 nonpartisan primary to face Republican Ricardo Cabrera in the November 3 general election for the 51st congressional district. The district's strong Democratic voter registration advantage and historical performance in House races underpin trader consensus on a Democratic hold. Primary results showed Jacobs securing a clear majority of the Democratic vote while Cabrera consolidated Republican support, leaving limited room for upset in the general. Scenarios that could alter the outcome include a national political shift against the Democratic Party, an unforeseen candidate withdrawal, or a late-breaking scandal affecting either nominee before November.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoCA-51 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
CA-51 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
$28,957 Vol.
$28,957 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Demócrata
94%
Partido Republicano
4%
$28,957 Vol.
$28,957 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Demócrata
$14,910 Vol.
94%
Partido Republicano
$14,046 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-51 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Sara Jacobs advanced from California's June 2 nonpartisan primary to face Republican Ricardo Cabrera in the November 3 general election for the 51st congressional district. The district's strong Democratic voter registration advantage and historical performance in House races underpin trader consensus on a Democratic hold. Primary results showed Jacobs securing a clear majority of the Democratic vote while Cabrera consolidated Republican support, leaving limited room for upset in the general. Scenarios that could alter the outcome include a national political shift against the Democratic Party, an unforeseen candidate withdrawal, or a late-breaking scandal affecting either nominee before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-51 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
Volumen
$28,957Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-51 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Sara Jacobs advanced from California's June 2 nonpartisan primary to face Republican Ricardo Cabrera in the November 3 general election for the 51st congressional district. The district's strong Democratic voter registration advantage and historical performance in House races underpin trader consensus on a Democratic hold. Primary results showed Jacobs securing a clear majority of the Democratic vote while Cabrera consolidated Republican support, leaving limited room for upset in the general. Scenarios that could alter the outcome include a national political shift against the Democratic Party, an unforeseen candidate withdrawal, or a late-breaking scandal affecting either nominee before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-51 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$28,957Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Sara Jacobs advanced from California's June 2 nonpartisan primary to face Republican Ricardo Cabrera in the November 3 general election for the 51st congressional district. The district's strong Democratic voter registration advantage and historical performance in House races underpin trader consensus on a Democratic hold. Primary results showed Jacobs securing a clear majority of the Democratic vote while Cabrera consolidated Republican support, leaving limited room for upset in the general. Scenarios that could alter the outcome include a national political shift against the Democratic Party, an unforeseen candidate withdrawal, or a late-breaking scandal affecting either nominee before November.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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