Democratic incumbent Dave Min holds a commanding position in California's 47th congressional district heading into the November 2026 general election, as reflected in trader consensus favoring the Democratic Party by a wide margin. Redistricting shifted the Orange County-based seat toward a more consistently Democratic electorate, with the area supporting Kamala Harris by approximately 10 points in the prior presidential contest. Min, first elected in 2024, benefits from incumbency in a district now rated solid Democratic by major forecasters, with limited Republican challengers emerging ahead of the June primary. While the current pricing indicates low volatility, factors such as an unexpected national political shift, a major scandal involving the incumbent, or unusually high turnout among opposition voters could still alter the outcome before Election Day.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoCA-47 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
CA-47 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
NUEVO
NUEVO
3 nov 2026
Partido Demócrata
93%
Partido Republicano
6%
NUEVO
NUEVO
3 nov 2026
Partido Demócrata
$811 Vol.
93%
Partido Republicano
$4,486 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-47 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Democratic incumbent Dave Min holds a commanding position in California's 47th congressional district heading into the November 2026 general election, as reflected in trader consensus favoring the Democratic Party by a wide margin. Redistricting shifted the Orange County-based seat toward a more consistently Democratic electorate, with the area supporting Kamala Harris by approximately 10 points in the prior presidential contest. Min, first elected in 2024, benefits from incumbency in a district now rated solid Democratic by major forecasters, with limited Republican challengers emerging ahead of the June primary. While the current pricing indicates low volatility, factors such as an unexpected national political shift, a major scandal involving the incumbent, or unusually high turnout among opposition voters could still alter the outcome before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-47 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
Volumen
$5,297Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-47 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Democratic incumbent Dave Min holds a commanding position in California's 47th congressional district heading into the November 2026 general election, as reflected in trader consensus favoring the Democratic Party by a wide margin. Redistricting shifted the Orange County-based seat toward a more consistently Democratic electorate, with the area supporting Kamala Harris by approximately 10 points in the prior presidential contest. Min, first elected in 2024, benefits from incumbency in a district now rated solid Democratic by major forecasters, with limited Republican challengers emerging ahead of the June primary. While the current pricing indicates low volatility, factors such as an unexpected national political shift, a major scandal involving the incumbent, or unusually high turnout among opposition voters could still alter the outcome before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-47 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$5,297Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Democratic incumbent Dave Min holds a commanding position in California's 47th congressional district heading into the November 2026 general election, as reflected in trader consensus favoring the Democratic Party by a wide margin. Redistricting shifted the Orange County-based seat toward a more consistently Democratic electorate, with the area supporting Kamala Harris by approximately 10 points in the prior presidential contest. Min, first elected in 2024, benefits from incumbency in a district now rated solid Democratic by major forecasters, with limited Republican challengers emerging ahead of the June primary. While the current pricing indicates low volatility, factors such as an unexpected national political shift, a major scandal involving the incumbent, or unusually high turnout among opposition voters could still alter the outcome before Election Day.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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