Incumbent Democrat Dave Min’s comfortable primary win and the district’s consistent Democratic lean in recent cycles anchor trader consensus on a Democratic hold for the November 2026 general election. The Orange County seat, encompassing areas like Irvine and Laguna Beach, features mixed voter registration yet has favored Democrats in presidential and congressional voting patterns. All major nonpartisan ratings classify the race as safe or solid Democratic, reinforced by Min’s substantial fundraising edge over Republican nominee Jenny Rae Le Roux. The top-two primary system further limited Republican advancement. Late-breaking developments, including a significant scandal, health event for the incumbent, or an unusually strong national Republican midterm surge, remain the primary realistic paths that could narrow the margin or shift the outcome.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoCA-47 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
CA-47 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
$14,137 Vol.
$14,137 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Partido Demócrata
95%
Partido Republicano
6%
$14,137 Vol.
$14,137 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Partido Demócrata
$3,261 Vol.
95%
Partido Republicano
$10,876 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-47 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Dave Min’s comfortable primary win and the district’s consistent Democratic lean in recent cycles anchor trader consensus on a Democratic hold for the November 2026 general election. The Orange County seat, encompassing areas like Irvine and Laguna Beach, features mixed voter registration yet has favored Democrats in presidential and congressional voting patterns. All major nonpartisan ratings classify the race as safe or solid Democratic, reinforced by Min’s substantial fundraising edge over Republican nominee Jenny Rae Le Roux. The top-two primary system further limited Republican advancement. Late-breaking developments, including a significant scandal, health event for the incumbent, or an unusually strong national Republican midterm surge, remain the primary realistic paths that could narrow the margin or shift the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-47 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
Volumen
$14,137Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-47 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Dave Min’s comfortable primary win and the district’s consistent Democratic lean in recent cycles anchor trader consensus on a Democratic hold for the November 2026 general election. The Orange County seat, encompassing areas like Irvine and Laguna Beach, features mixed voter registration yet has favored Democrats in presidential and congressional voting patterns. All major nonpartisan ratings classify the race as safe or solid Democratic, reinforced by Min’s substantial fundraising edge over Republican nominee Jenny Rae Le Roux. The top-two primary system further limited Republican advancement. Late-breaking developments, including a significant scandal, health event for the incumbent, or an unusually strong national Republican midterm surge, remain the primary realistic paths that could narrow the margin or shift the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-47 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$14,137Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Dave Min’s comfortable primary win and the district’s consistent Democratic lean in recent cycles anchor trader consensus on a Democratic hold for the November 2026 general election. The Orange County seat, encompassing areas like Irvine and Laguna Beach, features mixed voter registration yet has favored Democrats in presidential and congressional voting patterns. All major nonpartisan ratings classify the race as safe or solid Democratic, reinforced by Min’s substantial fundraising edge over Republican nominee Jenny Rae Le Roux. The top-two primary system further limited Republican advancement. Late-breaking developments, including a significant scandal, health event for the incumbent, or an unusually strong national Republican midterm surge, remain the primary realistic paths that could narrow the margin or shift the outcome.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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