Barisan Nasional (BN) holds a commanding position in the 2026 Johor state election market, scheduled for 11 July, as the incumbent coalition fields a full slate of 56 candidates and draws on established local machinery and recent state-level performance. Traders assign it a 76% implied probability of victory, reflecting its path to retaining or expanding a two-thirds majority amid Johor’s electorate. Pakatan Harapan (PH) at 12.5% and Perikatan Nasional (PN) at 9.5% trail, constrained by seat overlaps, federal coalition tensions, and weaker ground organization in the state. Recent developments, including the early dissolution of the assembly, candidate nominations, and direct PH-BN contests in multiple constituencies, have reinforced BN’s frontrunner status while underscoring the competitive but secondary roles of other coalitions in a closely watched bellwether for national alignments.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado2026 Johor General Election Winner
2026 Johor General Election Winner
BN 100.0%
PN <1%
PH <1%
$128,534 Vol.
$128,534 Vol.
11 jul 2026
PN
No
BN
Yes
PH
No
BN 100.0%
PN <1%
PH <1%
$128,534 Vol.
$128,534 Vol.
11 jul 2026
PN
$18,402 Vol.
No
BN
$53,140 Vol.
Yes
PH
$56,992 Vol.
No
General elections to elect the Johor State Legislative Assembly are scheduled to take place on July 11, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Johor State Legislative Assembly as a result of this election.
If voting in the specified election does not occur, or if the results of the specified election are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
A representative will count towards the coalition they under which he or she runs in the specified election, as indicated by official information from the Election Commission of Malaysia (SPR) (https://mysprsemak.spr.gov.my/).
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on official information from the Malaysia and Johor governments, including the Election Commission of Malaysia (SPR) (https://mysprsemak.spr.gov.my/).Barisan Nasional (BN) holds a commanding position in the 2026 Johor state election market, scheduled for 11 July, as the incumbent coalition fields a full slate of 56 candidates and draws on established local machinery and recent state-level performance. Traders assign it a 76% implied probability of victory, reflecting its path to retaining or expanding a two-thirds majority amid Johor’s electorate. Pakatan Harapan (PH) at 12.5% and Perikatan Nasional (PN) at 9.5% trail, constrained by seat overlaps, federal coalition tensions, and weaker ground organization in the state. Recent developments, including the early dissolution of the assembly, candidate nominations, and direct PH-BN contests in multiple constituencies, have reinforced BN’s frontrunner status while underscoring the competitive but secondary roles of other coalitions in a closely watched bellwether for national alignments.
General elections to elect the Johor State Legislative Assembly are scheduled to take place on July 11, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Johor State Legislative Assembly as a result of this election.
If voting in the specified election does not occur, or if the results of the specified election are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
A representative will count towards the coalition they under which he or she runs in the specified election, as indicated by official information from the Election Commission of Malaysia (SPR) (https://mysprsemak.spr.gov.my/).
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on official information from the Malaysia and Johor governments, including the Election Commission of Malaysia (SPR) (https://mysprsemak.spr.gov.my/).
This market will resolve to the political coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Johor State Legislative Assembly as a result of this election.
If voting in the specified election does not occur, or if the results of the specified election are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
A representative will count towards the coalition they under which he or she runs in the specified election, as indicated by official information from the Election Commission of Malaysia (SPR) (https://mysprsemak.spr.gov.my/).
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on official information from the Malaysia and Johor governments, including the Election Commission of Malaysia (SPR) (https://mysprsemak.spr.gov.my/).
Mercado abierto: Jul 1, 2026, 11:55 AM ET
Volumen
$128,534Fecha de finalización
11 jul 2026Mercado abierto
Jul 1, 2026, 11:55 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: Yes
Sin disputa
Resultado final: Yes
General elections to elect the Johor State Legislative Assembly are scheduled to take place on July 11, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Johor State Legislative Assembly as a result of this election.
If voting in the specified election does not occur, or if the results of the specified election are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
A representative will count towards the coalition they under which he or she runs in the specified election, as indicated by official information from the Election Commission of Malaysia (SPR) (https://mysprsemak.spr.gov.my/).
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on official information from the Malaysia and Johor governments, including the Election Commission of Malaysia (SPR) (https://mysprsemak.spr.gov.my/).Barisan Nasional (BN) holds a commanding position in the 2026 Johor state election market, scheduled for 11 July, as the incumbent coalition fields a full slate of 56 candidates and draws on established local machinery and recent state-level performance. Traders assign it a 76% implied probability of victory, reflecting its path to retaining or expanding a two-thirds majority amid Johor’s electorate. Pakatan Harapan (PH) at 12.5% and Perikatan Nasional (PN) at 9.5% trail, constrained by seat overlaps, federal coalition tensions, and weaker ground organization in the state. Recent developments, including the early dissolution of the assembly, candidate nominations, and direct PH-BN contests in multiple constituencies, have reinforced BN’s frontrunner status while underscoring the competitive but secondary roles of other coalitions in a closely watched bellwether for national alignments.
General elections to elect the Johor State Legislative Assembly are scheduled to take place on July 11, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Johor State Legislative Assembly as a result of this election.
If voting in the specified election does not occur, or if the results of the specified election are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
A representative will count towards the coalition they under which he or she runs in the specified election, as indicated by official information from the Election Commission of Malaysia (SPR) (https://mysprsemak.spr.gov.my/).
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on official information from the Malaysia and Johor governments, including the Election Commission of Malaysia (SPR) (https://mysprsemak.spr.gov.my/).
This market will resolve to the political coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Johor State Legislative Assembly as a result of this election.
If voting in the specified election does not occur, or if the results of the specified election are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
A representative will count towards the coalition they under which he or she runs in the specified election, as indicated by official information from the Election Commission of Malaysia (SPR) (https://mysprsemak.spr.gov.my/).
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on official information from the Malaysia and Johor governments, including the Election Commission of Malaysia (SPR) (https://mysprsemak.spr.gov.my/).
Volumen
$128,534Fecha de finalización
11 jul 2026Mercado abierto
Jul 1, 2026, 11:55 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: Yes
Sin disputa
Resultado final: Yes
Barisan Nasional (BN) holds a commanding position in the 2026 Johor state election market, scheduled for 11 July, as the incumbent coalition fields a full slate of 56 candidates and draws on established local machinery and recent state-level performance. Traders assign it a 76% implied probability of victory, reflecting its path to retaining or expanding a two-thirds majority amid Johor’s electorate. Pakatan Harapan (PH) at 12.5% and Perikatan Nasional (PN) at 9.5% trail, constrained by seat overlaps, federal coalition tensions, and weaker ground organization in the state. Recent developments, including the early dissolution of the assembly, candidate nominations, and direct PH-BN contests in multiple constituencies, have reinforced BN’s frontrunner status while underscoring the competitive but secondary roles of other coalitions in a closely watched bellwether for national alignments.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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