The Illinois 9th congressional district's consistent Democratic performance in recent cycles underpins the current trader consensus, following the March 2026 primaries that nominated Evanston Mayor Daniel Biss for Democrats and John Elleson for Republicans ahead of the November general election. Longtime incumbent Jan Schakowsky's retirement opened the seat but did not alter its underlying partisan composition in the Chicago-area district. With the general election still months away, scheduled milestones such as candidate debates or national political developments could introduce volatility, though structural factors including voter registration patterns and historical margins limit realistic pathways for a Republican victory.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoIL-09 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
IL-09 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
$21,863 Vol.
$21,863 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Demócrata
95%
Partido Republicano
6%
$21,863 Vol.
$21,863 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Demócrata
$15,361 Vol.
95%
Partido Republicano
$6,502 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Illinois 9th congressional district's consistent Democratic performance in recent cycles underpins the current trader consensus, following the March 2026 primaries that nominated Evanston Mayor Daniel Biss for Democrats and John Elleson for Republicans ahead of the November general election. Longtime incumbent Jan Schakowsky's retirement opened the seat but did not alter its underlying partisan composition in the Chicago-area district. With the general election still months away, scheduled milestones such as candidate debates or national political developments could introduce volatility, though structural factors including voter registration patterns and historical margins limit realistic pathways for a Republican victory.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volumen
$21,863Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Illinois 9th congressional district's consistent Democratic performance in recent cycles underpins the current trader consensus, following the March 2026 primaries that nominated Evanston Mayor Daniel Biss for Democrats and John Elleson for Republicans ahead of the November general election. Longtime incumbent Jan Schakowsky's retirement opened the seat but did not alter its underlying partisan composition in the Chicago-area district. With the general election still months away, scheduled milestones such as candidate debates or national political developments could introduce volatility, though structural factors including voter registration patterns and historical margins limit realistic pathways for a Republican victory.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$21,863Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Illinois 9th congressional district's consistent Democratic performance in recent cycles underpins the current trader consensus, following the March 2026 primaries that nominated Evanston Mayor Daniel Biss for Democrats and John Elleson for Republicans ahead of the November general election. Longtime incumbent Jan Schakowsky's retirement opened the seat but did not alter its underlying partisan composition in the Chicago-area district. With the general election still months away, scheduled milestones such as candidate debates or national political developments could introduce volatility, though structural factors including voter registration patterns and historical margins limit realistic pathways for a Republican victory.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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