The Illinois 7th congressional district's strong Democratic lean, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+34 and Kamala Harris's 36-point margin in 2024, anchors trader consensus around a Democratic victory. La Shawn Ford's win in the March 2026 Democratic primary over a crowded field, backed by endorsements from the retiring incumbent Danny Davis, further reinforces this positioning ahead of the November general election against Republican Chad Koppie. All major forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic. Scenarios that could shift odds remain limited but include an unforeseen scandal involving the Democratic nominee, a dramatic national political realignment favoring Republicans, or unusually low Democratic turnout in a low-profile midterm cycle.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoIL-07 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
$26,641 Vol.
$26,641 Vol.
Partido Demócrata
97%
Partido Republicano
1%
$26,641 Vol.
$26,641 Vol.
Partido Demócrata
97%
Partido Republicano
1%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Illinois 7th congressional district's strong Democratic lean, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+34 and Kamala Harris's 36-point margin in 2024, anchors trader consensus around a Democratic victory. La Shawn Ford's win in the March 2026 Democratic primary over a crowded field, backed by endorsements from the retiring incumbent Danny Davis, further reinforces this positioning ahead of the November general election against Republican Chad Koppie. All major forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic. Scenarios that could shift odds remain limited but include an unforeseen scandal involving the Democratic nominee, a dramatic national political realignment favoring Republicans, or unusually low Democratic turnout in a low-profile midterm cycle.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes