The Illinois 7th district's D+34 partisan voter index and consistent Democratic performance in recent presidential and House contests underpin the overwhelming trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Retiring incumbent Danny Davis's endorsement of state Representative La Shawn Ford, who prevailed in the March 2026 Democratic primary against a crowded field, further solidifies the position ahead of the November general election. The Republican nominee faces structural barriers in a district encompassing Chicago's West Side and western suburbs, where Democratic registration and turnout advantages have historically produced margins exceeding 60 points. Scenarios that could narrow the gap remain limited to an unforeseen national political realignment, candidate-specific controversy, or unusually low Democratic participation, though historical patterns in similarly rated seats indicate such shifts rarely overcome the baseline partisan tilt.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoIL-07 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
IL-07 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
$18,966 Vol.
$18,966 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Demócrata
95%
Partido Republicano
1%
$18,966 Vol.
$18,966 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Demócrata
$5,448 Vol.
95%
Partido Republicano
$13,517 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Illinois 7th district's D+34 partisan voter index and consistent Democratic performance in recent presidential and House contests underpin the overwhelming trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Retiring incumbent Danny Davis's endorsement of state Representative La Shawn Ford, who prevailed in the March 2026 Democratic primary against a crowded field, further solidifies the position ahead of the November general election. The Republican nominee faces structural barriers in a district encompassing Chicago's West Side and western suburbs, where Democratic registration and turnout advantages have historically produced margins exceeding 60 points. Scenarios that could narrow the gap remain limited to an unforeseen national political realignment, candidate-specific controversy, or unusually low Democratic participation, though historical patterns in similarly rated seats indicate such shifts rarely overcome the baseline partisan tilt.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volumen
$18,966Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Illinois 7th district's D+34 partisan voter index and consistent Democratic performance in recent presidential and House contests underpin the overwhelming trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Retiring incumbent Danny Davis's endorsement of state Representative La Shawn Ford, who prevailed in the March 2026 Democratic primary against a crowded field, further solidifies the position ahead of the November general election. The Republican nominee faces structural barriers in a district encompassing Chicago's West Side and western suburbs, where Democratic registration and turnout advantages have historically produced margins exceeding 60 points. Scenarios that could narrow the gap remain limited to an unforeseen national political realignment, candidate-specific controversy, or unusually low Democratic participation, though historical patterns in similarly rated seats indicate such shifts rarely overcome the baseline partisan tilt.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$18,966Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Illinois 7th district's D+34 partisan voter index and consistent Democratic performance in recent presidential and House contests underpin the overwhelming trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Retiring incumbent Danny Davis's endorsement of state Representative La Shawn Ford, who prevailed in the March 2026 Democratic primary against a crowded field, further solidifies the position ahead of the November general election. The Republican nominee faces structural barriers in a district encompassing Chicago's West Side and western suburbs, where Democratic registration and turnout advantages have historically produced margins exceeding 60 points. Scenarios that could narrow the gap remain limited to an unforeseen national political realignment, candidate-specific controversy, or unusually low Democratic participation, though historical patterns in similarly rated seats indicate such shifts rarely overcome the baseline partisan tilt.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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