The Democratic nominee Melissa Bean holds a commanding position in Illinois’ 8th Congressional District because the seat carries a D+5 Partisan Voter Index and has favored Democratic candidates in recent cycles. Bean, a former three-term representative for the district, secured the nomination in the March 2026 primary and faces Republican Jennifer Davis in the November general election. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting the district’s suburban northwest Chicago footprint and limited Republican infrastructure. Traders assign the Republican nominee only single-digit implied probability because historical results and structural factors create high barriers to an upset. A late national shift or unforeseen controversy could narrow the margin, but no such developments have emerged since the primaries.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoIL-08 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
IL-08 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
NUEVO
NUEVO
3 nov 2026
Partido Demócrata
93%
Partido Republicano
7%
NUEVO
NUEVO
3 nov 2026
Partido Demócrata
$3,799 Vol.
93%
Partido Republicano
$5,132 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Democratic nominee Melissa Bean holds a commanding position in Illinois’ 8th Congressional District because the seat carries a D+5 Partisan Voter Index and has favored Democratic candidates in recent cycles. Bean, a former three-term representative for the district, secured the nomination in the March 2026 primary and faces Republican Jennifer Davis in the November general election. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting the district’s suburban northwest Chicago footprint and limited Republican infrastructure. Traders assign the Republican nominee only single-digit implied probability because historical results and structural factors create high barriers to an upset. A late national shift or unforeseen controversy could narrow the margin, but no such developments have emerged since the primaries.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volumen
$8,931Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Democratic nominee Melissa Bean holds a commanding position in Illinois’ 8th Congressional District because the seat carries a D+5 Partisan Voter Index and has favored Democratic candidates in recent cycles. Bean, a former three-term representative for the district, secured the nomination in the March 2026 primary and faces Republican Jennifer Davis in the November general election. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting the district’s suburban northwest Chicago footprint and limited Republican infrastructure. Traders assign the Republican nominee only single-digit implied probability because historical results and structural factors create high barriers to an upset. A late national shift or unforeseen controversy could narrow the margin, but no such developments have emerged since the primaries.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$8,931Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Democratic nominee Melissa Bean holds a commanding position in Illinois’ 8th Congressional District because the seat carries a D+5 Partisan Voter Index and has favored Democratic candidates in recent cycles. Bean, a former three-term representative for the district, secured the nomination in the March 2026 primary and faces Republican Jennifer Davis in the November general election. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting the district’s suburban northwest Chicago footprint and limited Republican infrastructure. Traders assign the Republican nominee only single-digit implied probability because historical results and structural factors create high barriers to an upset. A late national shift or unforeseen controversy could narrow the margin, but no such developments have emerged since the primaries.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes