Sam Liccardo, the Democratic incumbent who won the seat in 2024, faces a nonpartisan primary on June 2 before the November general election in California's 16th congressional district. The area's D+26 Cook Partisan Voter Index reflects consistent Democratic advantages in recent presidential voting, supporting the market's 92.5% consensus on the Democratic nominee prevailing. Republican challengers remain limited in visibility and resources, with no major shifts in polling or endorsements reported in recent weeks. A late scandal involving the incumbent or an unusually strong Republican primary performance could alter the trajectory, though such developments have not materialized to date.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoCA-16 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
CA-16 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
$76,493 Vol.
$76,493 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Demócrata
93%
Partido Republicano
7%
$76,493 Vol.
$76,493 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Demócrata
$48,949 Vol.
93%
Partido Republicano
$27,544 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Sam Liccardo, the Democratic incumbent who won the seat in 2024, faces a nonpartisan primary on June 2 before the November general election in California's 16th congressional district. The area's D+26 Cook Partisan Voter Index reflects consistent Democratic advantages in recent presidential voting, supporting the market's 92.5% consensus on the Democratic nominee prevailing. Republican challengers remain limited in visibility and resources, with no major shifts in polling or endorsements reported in recent weeks. A late scandal involving the incumbent or an unusually strong Republican primary performance could alter the trajectory, though such developments have not materialized to date.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ET
Volumen
$76,493Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Sam Liccardo, the Democratic incumbent who won the seat in 2024, faces a nonpartisan primary on June 2 before the November general election in California's 16th congressional district. The area's D+26 Cook Partisan Voter Index reflects consistent Democratic advantages in recent presidential voting, supporting the market's 92.5% consensus on the Democratic nominee prevailing. Republican challengers remain limited in visibility and resources, with no major shifts in polling or endorsements reported in recent weeks. A late scandal involving the incumbent or an unusually strong Republican primary performance could alter the trajectory, though such developments have not materialized to date.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$76,493Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Sam Liccardo, the Democratic incumbent who won the seat in 2024, faces a nonpartisan primary on June 2 before the November general election in California's 16th congressional district. The area's D+26 Cook Partisan Voter Index reflects consistent Democratic advantages in recent presidential voting, supporting the market's 92.5% consensus on the Democratic nominee prevailing. Republican challengers remain limited in visibility and resources, with no major shifts in polling or endorsements reported in recent weeks. A late scandal involving the incumbent or an unusually strong Republican primary performance could alter the trajectory, though such developments have not materialized to date.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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