Incumbent Republican Darin LaHood faces Democrat Paul Nolley in the November 3, 2026, general election for Illinois’s 16th congressional district. Both candidates advanced unopposed through the March primaries. The rural northern Illinois district carries a solid Republican lean, reflected in historical results and rating analyses. LaHood’s incumbency, established fundraising, and alignment with district priorities reinforce his position, while the Democratic nominee starts with limited visibility and resources in a low-turnout environment. Trader consensus assigns the Republican outcome an 88.5 percent implied probability, consistent with the district’s partisan baseline and absence of competitive signals that could alter the race before Election Day.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoIL-16 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
IL-16 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
$15,429 Vol.
$15,429 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
89%
Partido Demócrata
12%
$15,429 Vol.
$15,429 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
$4,149 Vol.
89%
Partido Demócrata
$11,280 Vol.
12%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Darin LaHood faces Democrat Paul Nolley in the November 3, 2026, general election for Illinois’s 16th congressional district. Both candidates advanced unopposed through the March primaries. The rural northern Illinois district carries a solid Republican lean, reflected in historical results and rating analyses. LaHood’s incumbency, established fundraising, and alignment with district priorities reinforce his position, while the Democratic nominee starts with limited visibility and resources in a low-turnout environment. Trader consensus assigns the Republican outcome an 88.5 percent implied probability, consistent with the district’s partisan baseline and absence of competitive signals that could alter the race before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volumen
$15,429Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Darin LaHood faces Democrat Paul Nolley in the November 3, 2026, general election for Illinois’s 16th congressional district. Both candidates advanced unopposed through the March primaries. The rural northern Illinois district carries a solid Republican lean, reflected in historical results and rating analyses. LaHood’s incumbency, established fundraising, and alignment with district priorities reinforce his position, while the Democratic nominee starts with limited visibility and resources in a low-turnout environment. Trader consensus assigns the Republican outcome an 88.5 percent implied probability, consistent with the district’s partisan baseline and absence of competitive signals that could alter the race before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$15,429Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Darin LaHood faces Democrat Paul Nolley in the November 3, 2026, general election for Illinois’s 16th congressional district. Both candidates advanced unopposed through the March primaries. The rural northern Illinois district carries a solid Republican lean, reflected in historical results and rating analyses. LaHood’s incumbency, established fundraising, and alignment with district priorities reinforce his position, while the Democratic nominee starts with limited visibility and resources in a low-turnout environment. Trader consensus assigns the Republican outcome an 88.5 percent implied probability, consistent with the district’s partisan baseline and absence of competitive signals that could alter the race before Election Day.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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