Incumbent Republican Darin LaHood secured his party's nomination without opposition in the March 17, 2026, primary and faces Democrat Paul Nolley in the November general election for Illinois's 16th congressional district. The district's R+11 partisan voting index and rural character across northern and central counties have produced consistent Republican margins exceeding 20 points in recent cycles, underpinning trader consensus at 88.5% for the Republican Party. LaHood's established incumbency, strong fundraising position, and the absence of notable primary or general-election developments since the March primaries reinforce the structural advantages that have limited Democratic competitiveness in this seat. With the general election still five months away, the market reflects these baseline factors while leaving room for shifts from unforeseen late-cycle events.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoIL-16 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
IL-16 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
$15,479 Vol.
$15,479 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
89%
Partido Demócrata
12%
$15,479 Vol.
$15,479 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
$4,149 Vol.
89%
Partido Demócrata
$11,330 Vol.
12%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Darin LaHood secured his party's nomination without opposition in the March 17, 2026, primary and faces Democrat Paul Nolley in the November general election for Illinois's 16th congressional district. The district's R+11 partisan voting index and rural character across northern and central counties have produced consistent Republican margins exceeding 20 points in recent cycles, underpinning trader consensus at 88.5% for the Republican Party. LaHood's established incumbency, strong fundraising position, and the absence of notable primary or general-election developments since the March primaries reinforce the structural advantages that have limited Democratic competitiveness in this seat. With the general election still five months away, the market reflects these baseline factors while leaving room for shifts from unforeseen late-cycle events.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volumen
$15,479Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Darin LaHood secured his party's nomination without opposition in the March 17, 2026, primary and faces Democrat Paul Nolley in the November general election for Illinois's 16th congressional district. The district's R+11 partisan voting index and rural character across northern and central counties have produced consistent Republican margins exceeding 20 points in recent cycles, underpinning trader consensus at 88.5% for the Republican Party. LaHood's established incumbency, strong fundraising position, and the absence of notable primary or general-election developments since the March primaries reinforce the structural advantages that have limited Democratic competitiveness in this seat. With the general election still five months away, the market reflects these baseline factors while leaving room for shifts from unforeseen late-cycle events.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$15,479Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Darin LaHood secured his party's nomination without opposition in the March 17, 2026, primary and faces Democrat Paul Nolley in the November general election for Illinois's 16th congressional district. The district's R+11 partisan voting index and rural character across northern and central counties have produced consistent Republican margins exceeding 20 points in recent cycles, underpinning trader consensus at 88.5% for the Republican Party. LaHood's established incumbency, strong fundraising position, and the absence of notable primary or general-election developments since the March primaries reinforce the structural advantages that have limited Democratic competitiveness in this seat. With the general election still five months away, the market reflects these baseline factors while leaving room for shifts from unforeseen late-cycle events.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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