Maryland’s 8th congressional district remains one of the most Democratic-leaning seats in the House, with a Partisan Voter Index of D+30 and consistent double-digit margins for Democratic candidates in recent cycles. Incumbent Jamie Raskin, first elected in 2016 and re-elected with 76.8 percent in 2024, faces only token primary opposition ahead of the June 23, 2026, Democratic primary and holds a commanding position for the November general election. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the race Solid Democratic, reflecting limited Republican recruitment and fundraising. Trader consensus at 94.7 percent for the Democratic nominee aligns with the district’s structural advantages and incumbency. A shift would require either an unexpected primary upset, a major unforeseen scandal affecting Raskin, or an extraordinary national political realignment capable of overcoming the seat’s entrenched partisan baseline.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoMD-08 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
MD-08 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
$14,688 Vol.
$14,688 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Demócrata
94%
Partido Republicano
6%
$14,688 Vol.
$14,688 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Demócrata
$6,455 Vol.
94%
Partido Republicano
$8,232 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Maryland’s 8th congressional district remains one of the most Democratic-leaning seats in the House, with a Partisan Voter Index of D+30 and consistent double-digit margins for Democratic candidates in recent cycles. Incumbent Jamie Raskin, first elected in 2016 and re-elected with 76.8 percent in 2024, faces only token primary opposition ahead of the June 23, 2026, Democratic primary and holds a commanding position for the November general election. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the race Solid Democratic, reflecting limited Republican recruitment and fundraising. Trader consensus at 94.7 percent for the Democratic nominee aligns with the district’s structural advantages and incumbency. A shift would require either an unexpected primary upset, a major unforeseen scandal affecting Raskin, or an extraordinary national political realignment capable of overcoming the seat’s entrenched partisan baseline.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volumen
$14,688Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Maryland’s 8th congressional district remains one of the most Democratic-leaning seats in the House, with a Partisan Voter Index of D+30 and consistent double-digit margins for Democratic candidates in recent cycles. Incumbent Jamie Raskin, first elected in 2016 and re-elected with 76.8 percent in 2024, faces only token primary opposition ahead of the June 23, 2026, Democratic primary and holds a commanding position for the November general election. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the race Solid Democratic, reflecting limited Republican recruitment and fundraising. Trader consensus at 94.7 percent for the Democratic nominee aligns with the district’s structural advantages and incumbency. A shift would require either an unexpected primary upset, a major unforeseen scandal affecting Raskin, or an extraordinary national political realignment capable of overcoming the seat’s entrenched partisan baseline.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$14,688Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Maryland’s 8th congressional district remains one of the most Democratic-leaning seats in the House, with a Partisan Voter Index of D+30 and consistent double-digit margins for Democratic candidates in recent cycles. Incumbent Jamie Raskin, first elected in 2016 and re-elected with 76.8 percent in 2024, faces only token primary opposition ahead of the June 23, 2026, Democratic primary and holds a commanding position for the November general election. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the race Solid Democratic, reflecting limited Republican recruitment and fundraising. Trader consensus at 94.7 percent for the Democratic nominee aligns with the district’s structural advantages and incumbency. A shift would require either an unexpected primary upset, a major unforeseen scandal affecting Raskin, or an extraordinary national political realignment capable of overcoming the seat’s entrenched partisan baseline.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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