Maryland's 8th congressional district, encompassing affluent Washington suburbs, has delivered consistent Democratic margins exceeding 30 points in recent cycles, underpinning the 96% implied probability for the Democratic nominee. Incumbent Jamie Raskin secured renomination in the June 2026 primary with over 92% of the vote against minimal opposition, while Republican nominee Cheryl Riley emerged from a low-turnout primary with limited fundraising and visibility. Forecasters across Cook, Sabato, and Inside Elections rate the seat solid or safe Democratic based on partisan voting history and electoral math. Trader consensus reflects these structural advantages, though late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or national partisan wave could narrow the outcome before the November general election.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoMD-08 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
MD-08 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
$27,431 Vol.
$27,431 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Partido Demócrata
96%
Partido Republicano
3%
$27,431 Vol.
$27,431 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Partido Demócrata
$18,904 Vol.
96%
Partido Republicano
$8,528 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Maryland's 8th congressional district, encompassing affluent Washington suburbs, has delivered consistent Democratic margins exceeding 30 points in recent cycles, underpinning the 96% implied probability for the Democratic nominee. Incumbent Jamie Raskin secured renomination in the June 2026 primary with over 92% of the vote against minimal opposition, while Republican nominee Cheryl Riley emerged from a low-turnout primary with limited fundraising and visibility. Forecasters across Cook, Sabato, and Inside Elections rate the seat solid or safe Democratic based on partisan voting history and electoral math. Trader consensus reflects these structural advantages, though late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or national partisan wave could narrow the outcome before the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volumen
$27,431Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Maryland's 8th congressional district, encompassing affluent Washington suburbs, has delivered consistent Democratic margins exceeding 30 points in recent cycles, underpinning the 96% implied probability for the Democratic nominee. Incumbent Jamie Raskin secured renomination in the June 2026 primary with over 92% of the vote against minimal opposition, while Republican nominee Cheryl Riley emerged from a low-turnout primary with limited fundraising and visibility. Forecasters across Cook, Sabato, and Inside Elections rate the seat solid or safe Democratic based on partisan voting history and electoral math. Trader consensus reflects these structural advantages, though late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or national partisan wave could narrow the outcome before the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$27,431Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Maryland's 8th congressional district, encompassing affluent Washington suburbs, has delivered consistent Democratic margins exceeding 30 points in recent cycles, underpinning the 96% implied probability for the Democratic nominee. Incumbent Jamie Raskin secured renomination in the June 2026 primary with over 92% of the vote against minimal opposition, while Republican nominee Cheryl Riley emerged from a low-turnout primary with limited fundraising and visibility. Forecasters across Cook, Sabato, and Inside Elections rate the seat solid or safe Democratic based on partisan voting history and electoral math. Trader consensus reflects these structural advantages, though late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or national partisan wave could narrow the outcome before the November general election.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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