The Illinois 1st Congressional District’s strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+18 partisan voting index and Kamala Harris’s 25.5-point margin there in 2024, underpins trader consensus favoring incumbent Jonathan Jackson. Jackson advanced unopposed through the March 2026 Democratic primary and enters the November general as a two-term representative with established fundraising and institutional support. Republican nominee Christian Maxwell, an entrepreneur who defeated Marcus Lewis in the GOP primary, faces structural headwinds in a district anchored by Chicago’s South Side. Forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Democratic, aligning with the wide implied probability gap. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or national partisan surge could theoretically alter the outcome, though none have materialized in the current cycle.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoIL-01 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
IL-01 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
$54,755 Vol.
$54,755 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Jonathan Jackson (D)
96%
Christian Maxwell (R)
3%
$54,755 Vol.
$54,755 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Jonathan Jackson (D)
$30,061 Vol.
96%
Christian Maxwell (R)
$24,694 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Illinois 1st Congressional District’s strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+18 partisan voting index and Kamala Harris’s 25.5-point margin there in 2024, underpins trader consensus favoring incumbent Jonathan Jackson. Jackson advanced unopposed through the March 2026 Democratic primary and enters the November general as a two-term representative with established fundraising and institutional support. Republican nominee Christian Maxwell, an entrepreneur who defeated Marcus Lewis in the GOP primary, faces structural headwinds in a district anchored by Chicago’s South Side. Forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Democratic, aligning with the wide implied probability gap. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or national partisan surge could theoretically alter the outcome, though none have materialized in the current cycle.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
Volumen
$54,755Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Illinois 1st Congressional District’s strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+18 partisan voting index and Kamala Harris’s 25.5-point margin there in 2024, underpins trader consensus favoring incumbent Jonathan Jackson. Jackson advanced unopposed through the March 2026 Democratic primary and enters the November general as a two-term representative with established fundraising and institutional support. Republican nominee Christian Maxwell, an entrepreneur who defeated Marcus Lewis in the GOP primary, faces structural headwinds in a district anchored by Chicago’s South Side. Forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Democratic, aligning with the wide implied probability gap. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or national partisan surge could theoretically alter the outcome, though none have materialized in the current cycle.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$54,755Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Illinois 1st Congressional District’s strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+18 partisan voting index and Kamala Harris’s 25.5-point margin there in 2024, underpins trader consensus favoring incumbent Jonathan Jackson. Jackson advanced unopposed through the March 2026 Democratic primary and enters the November general as a two-term representative with established fundraising and institutional support. Republican nominee Christian Maxwell, an entrepreneur who defeated Marcus Lewis in the GOP primary, faces structural headwinds in a district anchored by Chicago’s South Side. Forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Democratic, aligning with the wide implied probability gap. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or national partisan surge could theoretically alter the outcome, though none have materialized in the current cycle.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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