Incumbent Republican Mike Bost holds a commanding position in the Illinois 12th congressional district race due to the area's consistent Republican lean, his established name recognition, and substantial fundraising advantage ahead of the November 2026 general election. Julie Fortier, the Democratic nominee who advanced from the March primary, faces structural headwinds in a district covering southern Illinois counties that have supported Republican candidates by wide margins in recent cycles. Trader consensus at 94 percent for the Republican Party aligns with these fundamentals, including low Democratic turnout potential and limited crossover appeal. A major national political shift, unexpected candidate health issue, or significant late-cycle scandal could alter the outlook, though such developments remain low-probability factors at this stage.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGanador de las elecciones a la Cámara de Representantes de IL-12
Ganador de las elecciones a la Cámara de Representantes de IL-12
$21,431 Vol.
$21,431 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
94%
Partido Demócrata
4%
$21,431 Vol.
$21,431 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
$10,340 Vol.
94%
Partido Demócrata
$11,092 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Mike Bost holds a commanding position in the Illinois 12th congressional district race due to the area's consistent Republican lean, his established name recognition, and substantial fundraising advantage ahead of the November 2026 general election. Julie Fortier, the Democratic nominee who advanced from the March primary, faces structural headwinds in a district covering southern Illinois counties that have supported Republican candidates by wide margins in recent cycles. Trader consensus at 94 percent for the Republican Party aligns with these fundamentals, including low Democratic turnout potential and limited crossover appeal. A major national political shift, unexpected candidate health issue, or significant late-cycle scandal could alter the outlook, though such developments remain low-probability factors at this stage.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volumen
$21,431Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Mike Bost holds a commanding position in the Illinois 12th congressional district race due to the area's consistent Republican lean, his established name recognition, and substantial fundraising advantage ahead of the November 2026 general election. Julie Fortier, the Democratic nominee who advanced from the March primary, faces structural headwinds in a district covering southern Illinois counties that have supported Republican candidates by wide margins in recent cycles. Trader consensus at 94 percent for the Republican Party aligns with these fundamentals, including low Democratic turnout potential and limited crossover appeal. A major national political shift, unexpected candidate health issue, or significant late-cycle scandal could alter the outlook, though such developments remain low-probability factors at this stage.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$21,431Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Mike Bost holds a commanding position in the Illinois 12th congressional district race due to the area's consistent Republican lean, his established name recognition, and substantial fundraising advantage ahead of the November 2026 general election. Julie Fortier, the Democratic nominee who advanced from the March primary, faces structural headwinds in a district covering southern Illinois counties that have supported Republican candidates by wide margins in recent cycles. Trader consensus at 94 percent for the Republican Party aligns with these fundamentals, including low Democratic turnout potential and limited crossover appeal. A major national political shift, unexpected candidate health issue, or significant late-cycle scandal could alter the outlook, though such developments remain low-probability factors at this stage.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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