Incumbent Republican Mike Bost's commanding position in the Illinois 12th congressional district race stems from the district's established Republican lean in southern Illinois, including areas around Carbondale and O'Fallon, where he secured a 74-point margin in 2024. Both major party primaries have concluded, with Bost advancing unopposed on the Republican side and Julie Fortier as the Democratic nominee. Trader consensus reflected in the current odds aligns with this structural advantage and historical voting patterns in the district. A late scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or an unusually strong Democratic national environment could still narrow the gap before November 2026.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGanador de las elecciones a la Cámara de Representantes de IL-12
Ganador de las elecciones a la Cámara de Representantes de IL-12
$18,331 Vol.
$18,331 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
94%
Partido Demócrata
5%
$18,331 Vol.
$18,331 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
$7,864 Vol.
94%
Partido Demócrata
$10,467 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Mike Bost's commanding position in the Illinois 12th congressional district race stems from the district's established Republican lean in southern Illinois, including areas around Carbondale and O'Fallon, where he secured a 74-point margin in 2024. Both major party primaries have concluded, with Bost advancing unopposed on the Republican side and Julie Fortier as the Democratic nominee. Trader consensus reflected in the current odds aligns with this structural advantage and historical voting patterns in the district. A late scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or an unusually strong Democratic national environment could still narrow the gap before November 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volumen
$18,331Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Mike Bost's commanding position in the Illinois 12th congressional district race stems from the district's established Republican lean in southern Illinois, including areas around Carbondale and O'Fallon, where he secured a 74-point margin in 2024. Both major party primaries have concluded, with Bost advancing unopposed on the Republican side and Julie Fortier as the Democratic nominee. Trader consensus reflected in the current odds aligns with this structural advantage and historical voting patterns in the district. A late scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or an unusually strong Democratic national environment could still narrow the gap before November 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$18,331Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Mike Bost's commanding position in the Illinois 12th congressional district race stems from the district's established Republican lean in southern Illinois, including areas around Carbondale and O'Fallon, where he secured a 74-point margin in 2024. Both major party primaries have concluded, with Bost advancing unopposed on the Republican side and Julie Fortier as the Democratic nominee. Trader consensus reflected in the current odds aligns with this structural advantage and historical voting patterns in the district. A late scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or an unusually strong Democratic national environment could still narrow the gap before November 2026.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes