Mike Bost, the five-term Republican incumbent, holds a commanding position in Illinois' 12th Congressional District due to the area's consistent Republican lean, his prior victories exceeding 70 percent, and unopposed primary advancement. Independent ratings from sources including the Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the race as Solid or Safe Republican. Julie Fortier, the Democratic nominee and Air Force veteran, faces structural disadvantages including limited fundraising of roughly $41,000 compared to Bost's over $1 million and minimal visibility in a district encompassing southern Illinois communities. Trader consensus pricing reflects these fundamentals, though late-cycle national shifts, turnout surges, or unforeseen candidate issues could theoretically narrow margins before the November 3 general election.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGanador de las elecciones a la Cámara de Representantes de IL-12
Ganador de las elecciones a la Cámara de Representantes de IL-12
$25,146 Vol.
$25,146 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Mike Bost (R)
99%
Julie Fortier (D)
2%
$25,146 Vol.
$25,146 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Mike Bost (R)
$14,014 Vol.
99%
Julie Fortier (D)
$11,132 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Mike Bost, the five-term Republican incumbent, holds a commanding position in Illinois' 12th Congressional District due to the area's consistent Republican lean, his prior victories exceeding 70 percent, and unopposed primary advancement. Independent ratings from sources including the Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the race as Solid or Safe Republican. Julie Fortier, the Democratic nominee and Air Force veteran, faces structural disadvantages including limited fundraising of roughly $41,000 compared to Bost's over $1 million and minimal visibility in a district encompassing southern Illinois communities. Trader consensus pricing reflects these fundamentals, though late-cycle national shifts, turnout surges, or unforeseen candidate issues could theoretically narrow margins before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volumen
$25,146Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Mike Bost, the five-term Republican incumbent, holds a commanding position in Illinois' 12th Congressional District due to the area's consistent Republican lean, his prior victories exceeding 70 percent, and unopposed primary advancement. Independent ratings from sources including the Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the race as Solid or Safe Republican. Julie Fortier, the Democratic nominee and Air Force veteran, faces structural disadvantages including limited fundraising of roughly $41,000 compared to Bost's over $1 million and minimal visibility in a district encompassing southern Illinois communities. Trader consensus pricing reflects these fundamentals, though late-cycle national shifts, turnout surges, or unforeseen candidate issues could theoretically narrow margins before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$25,146Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Mike Bost, the five-term Republican incumbent, holds a commanding position in Illinois' 12th Congressional District due to the area's consistent Republican lean, his prior victories exceeding 70 percent, and unopposed primary advancement. Independent ratings from sources including the Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the race as Solid or Safe Republican. Julie Fortier, the Democratic nominee and Air Force veteran, faces structural disadvantages including limited fundraising of roughly $41,000 compared to Bost's over $1 million and minimal visibility in a district encompassing southern Illinois communities. Trader consensus pricing reflects these fundamentals, though late-cycle national shifts, turnout surges, or unforeseen candidate issues could theoretically narrow margins before the November 3 general election.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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