Illinois’s 2nd congressional district remains a solidly Democratic seat following Donna Miller’s March 2026 primary victory over a crowded field that included Jesse Jackson Jr. The district’s southeast Chicago and southern suburban geography produces consistent Democratic margins exceeding 30 points in recent cycles, and the open seat created by Robin Kelly’s Senate bid has not altered that structural advantage. Republican nominee Mike Noack faces limited resources and name recognition against the Democratic nominee in a general election set for November 3. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with historical voting patterns and the absence of competitive Republican infrastructure or polling shifts that would indicate a realistic path to victory. Late developments such as a major scandal or unusually high Republican turnout could narrow the margin, though both remain low-probability events given the district’s composition.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoIL-02 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
IL-02 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
$32,137 Vol.
$32,137 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Demócrata
94%
Partido Republicano
5%
$32,137 Vol.
$32,137 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Demócrata
$13,630 Vol.
94%
Partido Republicano
$18,507 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Illinois’s 2nd congressional district remains a solidly Democratic seat following Donna Miller’s March 2026 primary victory over a crowded field that included Jesse Jackson Jr. The district’s southeast Chicago and southern suburban geography produces consistent Democratic margins exceeding 30 points in recent cycles, and the open seat created by Robin Kelly’s Senate bid has not altered that structural advantage. Republican nominee Mike Noack faces limited resources and name recognition against the Democratic nominee in a general election set for November 3. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with historical voting patterns and the absence of competitive Republican infrastructure or polling shifts that would indicate a realistic path to victory. Late developments such as a major scandal or unusually high Republican turnout could narrow the margin, though both remain low-probability events given the district’s composition.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
Volumen
$32,137Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Illinois’s 2nd congressional district remains a solidly Democratic seat following Donna Miller’s March 2026 primary victory over a crowded field that included Jesse Jackson Jr. The district’s southeast Chicago and southern suburban geography produces consistent Democratic margins exceeding 30 points in recent cycles, and the open seat created by Robin Kelly’s Senate bid has not altered that structural advantage. Republican nominee Mike Noack faces limited resources and name recognition against the Democratic nominee in a general election set for November 3. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with historical voting patterns and the absence of competitive Republican infrastructure or polling shifts that would indicate a realistic path to victory. Late developments such as a major scandal or unusually high Republican turnout could narrow the margin, though both remain low-probability events given the district’s composition.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$32,137Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Illinois’s 2nd congressional district remains a solidly Democratic seat following Donna Miller’s March 2026 primary victory over a crowded field that included Jesse Jackson Jr. The district’s southeast Chicago and southern suburban geography produces consistent Democratic margins exceeding 30 points in recent cycles, and the open seat created by Robin Kelly’s Senate bid has not altered that structural advantage. Republican nominee Mike Noack faces limited resources and name recognition against the Democratic nominee in a general election set for November 3. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with historical voting patterns and the absence of competitive Republican infrastructure or polling shifts that would indicate a realistic path to victory. Late developments such as a major scandal or unusually high Republican turnout could narrow the margin, though both remain low-probability events given the district’s composition.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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