Republican incumbent Jeff Crank holds a clear edge in Colorado’s 5th Congressional District heading into the June 30 primary and November general election. The seat’s R+5 Partisan Voter Index, combined with its consistent Republican control since creation, underpins trader consensus favoring the GOP at 67.5% implied probability. Democrats have placed the district on their target list for the first time, citing its leftward shift in recent cycles and strong fundraising by challenger Jessica Killin, yet nonpartisan ratings from Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato maintain a Likely Republican classification. The outcome hinges on the Democratic primary result and national midterm dynamics within the resolution window.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoCO-05 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
Partido Republicano
68%
Partido Demócrata
32%
Partido Republicano
68%
Partido Demócrata
32%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Republican incumbent Jeff Crank holds a clear edge in Colorado’s 5th Congressional District heading into the June 30 primary and November general election. The seat’s R+5 Partisan Voter Index, combined with its consistent Republican control since creation, underpins trader consensus favoring the GOP at 67.5% implied probability. Democrats have placed the district on their target list for the first time, citing its leftward shift in recent cycles and strong fundraising by challenger Jessica Killin, yet nonpartisan ratings from Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato maintain a Likely Republican classification. The outcome hinges on the Democratic primary result and national midterm dynamics within the resolution window.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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