Virginia's 5th congressional district maintains a Republican tilt, reflected in its R+6 Cook Partisan Voting Index and Donald Trump's 12-point margin there in 2024. Incumbent John McGuire, first elected in 2024 with 57.5 percent of the vote, faces a Republican primary challenger but benefits from the district's rural Southside Virginia base and recent statewide GOP performance. Democratic contenders, including former Representative Tom Perriello, compete in an August primary ahead of the November general, yet face structural headwinds in a seat rated Solid Republican by multiple forecasters. Trader consensus on Republican victory aligns with these established electoral patterns and limited recent shifts in the race.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoVA-05 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
VA-05 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
$55,468 Vol.
$55,468 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
71%
Partido Demócrata
26%
$55,468 Vol.
$55,468 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
$26,615 Vol.
71%
Partido Demócrata
$28,853 Vol.
26%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Virginia's 5th congressional district maintains a Republican tilt, reflected in its R+6 Cook Partisan Voting Index and Donald Trump's 12-point margin there in 2024. Incumbent John McGuire, first elected in 2024 with 57.5 percent of the vote, faces a Republican primary challenger but benefits from the district's rural Southside Virginia base and recent statewide GOP performance. Democratic contenders, including former Representative Tom Perriello, compete in an August primary ahead of the November general, yet face structural headwinds in a seat rated Solid Republican by multiple forecasters. Trader consensus on Republican victory aligns with these established electoral patterns and limited recent shifts in the race.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Volumen
$55,468Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Virginia's 5th congressional district maintains a Republican tilt, reflected in its R+6 Cook Partisan Voting Index and Donald Trump's 12-point margin there in 2024. Incumbent John McGuire, first elected in 2024 with 57.5 percent of the vote, faces a Republican primary challenger but benefits from the district's rural Southside Virginia base and recent statewide GOP performance. Democratic contenders, including former Representative Tom Perriello, compete in an August primary ahead of the November general, yet face structural headwinds in a seat rated Solid Republican by multiple forecasters. Trader consensus on Republican victory aligns with these established electoral patterns and limited recent shifts in the race.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$55,468Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Virginia's 5th congressional district maintains a Republican tilt, reflected in its R+6 Cook Partisan Voting Index and Donald Trump's 12-point margin there in 2024. Incumbent John McGuire, first elected in 2024 with 57.5 percent of the vote, faces a Republican primary challenger but benefits from the district's rural Southside Virginia base and recent statewide GOP performance. Democratic contenders, including former Representative Tom Perriello, compete in an August primary ahead of the November general, yet face structural headwinds in a seat rated Solid Republican by multiple forecasters. Trader consensus on Republican victory aligns with these established electoral patterns and limited recent shifts in the race.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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