Virginia's 5th Congressional District carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+6, reflecting its consistent Republican tilt shown by Donald Trump's 12-point margin there in 2024. Incumbent Republican John McGuire, first elected in 2024, benefits from this baseline as he seeks re-election on November 3, 2026. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat Solid Republican or Likely Republican, citing the rural Southside composition and limited Democratic inroads despite candidates such as former Representative Tom Perriello entering the August 4 primary. A court-blocked Democratic redistricting effort leaves the current map in place, reinforcing the structural advantage and aligning with the market's 70.5% Republican consensus.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoVA-05 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
VA-05 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
$55,533 Vol.
$55,533 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
72%
Partido Demócrata
28%
$55,533 Vol.
$55,533 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
$26,640 Vol.
72%
Partido Demócrata
$28,893 Vol.
28%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Virginia's 5th Congressional District carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+6, reflecting its consistent Republican tilt shown by Donald Trump's 12-point margin there in 2024. Incumbent Republican John McGuire, first elected in 2024, benefits from this baseline as he seeks re-election on November 3, 2026. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat Solid Republican or Likely Republican, citing the rural Southside composition and limited Democratic inroads despite candidates such as former Representative Tom Perriello entering the August 4 primary. A court-blocked Democratic redistricting effort leaves the current map in place, reinforcing the structural advantage and aligning with the market's 70.5% Republican consensus.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Volumen
$55,533Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Virginia's 5th Congressional District carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+6, reflecting its consistent Republican tilt shown by Donald Trump's 12-point margin there in 2024. Incumbent Republican John McGuire, first elected in 2024, benefits from this baseline as he seeks re-election on November 3, 2026. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat Solid Republican or Likely Republican, citing the rural Southside composition and limited Democratic inroads despite candidates such as former Representative Tom Perriello entering the August 4 primary. A court-blocked Democratic redistricting effort leaves the current map in place, reinforcing the structural advantage and aligning with the market's 70.5% Republican consensus.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$55,533Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Virginia's 5th Congressional District carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+6, reflecting its consistent Republican tilt shown by Donald Trump's 12-point margin there in 2024. Incumbent Republican John McGuire, first elected in 2024, benefits from this baseline as he seeks re-election on November 3, 2026. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat Solid Republican or Likely Republican, citing the rural Southside composition and limited Democratic inroads despite candidates such as former Representative Tom Perriello entering the August 4 primary. A court-blocked Democratic redistricting effort leaves the current map in place, reinforcing the structural advantage and aligning with the market's 70.5% Republican consensus.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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