Maryland’s 5th Congressional District maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+17 partisan voting index and consistent historical margins exceeding 30 points for the party. The June 2026 Democratic primary produced nominee Adrian Boafo after a crowded field, bolstered by endorsements from retiring longtime incumbent Steny Hoyer and Governor Wes Moore. Republican nominee Chris Chaffee emerged from a low-turnout primary but faces structural barriers in a district encompassing Prince George’s County suburbs and Southern Maryland counties. Forecasters rate the November 3 general election Solid or Safe Democratic, consistent with trader consensus. A Democratic victory could be disrupted only by an unprecedented late scandal, health issue, or turnout anomaly far outside recent patterns.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoMD-05 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
MD-05 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
$18,184 Vol.
$18,184 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Partido Demócrata
95%
Partido Republicano
3%
$18,184 Vol.
$18,184 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Partido Demócrata
$8,754 Vol.
95%
Partido Republicano
$9,430 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Maryland’s 5th Congressional District maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+17 partisan voting index and consistent historical margins exceeding 30 points for the party. The June 2026 Democratic primary produced nominee Adrian Boafo after a crowded field, bolstered by endorsements from retiring longtime incumbent Steny Hoyer and Governor Wes Moore. Republican nominee Chris Chaffee emerged from a low-turnout primary but faces structural barriers in a district encompassing Prince George’s County suburbs and Southern Maryland counties. Forecasters rate the November 3 general election Solid or Safe Democratic, consistent with trader consensus. A Democratic victory could be disrupted only by an unprecedented late scandal, health issue, or turnout anomaly far outside recent patterns.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volumen
$18,184Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Maryland’s 5th Congressional District maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+17 partisan voting index and consistent historical margins exceeding 30 points for the party. The June 2026 Democratic primary produced nominee Adrian Boafo after a crowded field, bolstered by endorsements from retiring longtime incumbent Steny Hoyer and Governor Wes Moore. Republican nominee Chris Chaffee emerged from a low-turnout primary but faces structural barriers in a district encompassing Prince George’s County suburbs and Southern Maryland counties. Forecasters rate the November 3 general election Solid or Safe Democratic, consistent with trader consensus. A Democratic victory could be disrupted only by an unprecedented late scandal, health issue, or turnout anomaly far outside recent patterns.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$18,184Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Maryland’s 5th Congressional District maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+17 partisan voting index and consistent historical margins exceeding 30 points for the party. The June 2026 Democratic primary produced nominee Adrian Boafo after a crowded field, bolstered by endorsements from retiring longtime incumbent Steny Hoyer and Governor Wes Moore. Republican nominee Chris Chaffee emerged from a low-turnout primary but faces structural barriers in a district encompassing Prince George’s County suburbs and Southern Maryland counties. Forecasters rate the November 3 general election Solid or Safe Democratic, consistent with trader consensus. A Democratic victory could be disrupted only by an unprecedented late scandal, health issue, or turnout anomaly far outside recent patterns.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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