Maryland’s Fifth Congressional District remains a solidly Democratic seat, reflected in the market’s 94% consensus for that party. The area’s partisan voting index exceeds D+17, and the incumbent Democrat won by more than 35 points in 2024. Longtime representative Steny Hoyer’s retirement has produced a crowded Democratic primary ahead of the June 23 contest, while Republicans field limited challengers in the same primary. No recent polling, endorsements, or developments have narrowed the structural gap. A Republican victory would require an unprecedented national swing or local realignment not evident in current data.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoMD-05 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
MD-05 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
$15,921 Vol.
$15,921 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Demócrata
94%
Partido Republicano
19%
$15,921 Vol.
$15,921 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Demócrata
$8,513 Vol.
94%
Partido Republicano
$7,408 Vol.
19%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Maryland’s Fifth Congressional District remains a solidly Democratic seat, reflected in the market’s 94% consensus for that party. The area’s partisan voting index exceeds D+17, and the incumbent Democrat won by more than 35 points in 2024. Longtime representative Steny Hoyer’s retirement has produced a crowded Democratic primary ahead of the June 23 contest, while Republicans field limited challengers in the same primary. No recent polling, endorsements, or developments have narrowed the structural gap. A Republican victory would require an unprecedented national swing or local realignment not evident in current data.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volumen
$15,921Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Maryland’s Fifth Congressional District remains a solidly Democratic seat, reflected in the market’s 94% consensus for that party. The area’s partisan voting index exceeds D+17, and the incumbent Democrat won by more than 35 points in 2024. Longtime representative Steny Hoyer’s retirement has produced a crowded Democratic primary ahead of the June 23 contest, while Republicans field limited challengers in the same primary. No recent polling, endorsements, or developments have narrowed the structural gap. A Republican victory would require an unprecedented national swing or local realignment not evident in current data.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$15,921Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Maryland’s Fifth Congressional District remains a solidly Democratic seat, reflected in the market’s 94% consensus for that party. The area’s partisan voting index exceeds D+17, and the incumbent Democrat won by more than 35 points in 2024. Longtime representative Steny Hoyer’s retirement has produced a crowded Democratic primary ahead of the June 23 contest, while Republicans field limited challengers in the same primary. No recent polling, endorsements, or developments have narrowed the structural gap. A Republican victory would require an unprecedented national swing or local realignment not evident in current data.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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