Maryland's 5th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+17 Partisan Voter Index and consistent Solid or Safe Democratic ratings from major forecasters. Longtime incumbent Steny Hoyer won reelection with 67.8 percent in 2024 before announcing his retirement, opening the seat to a crowded Democratic primary scheduled for June 23. Multiple Democratic candidates, including figures with local government experience, compete for the nomination in a district encompassing Prince George's County suburbs and southern Maryland counties. Republican primary contenders face structural disadvantages in general election turnout and voter registration patterns. Trader consensus at these levels aligns with historical margins and the absence of recent shifts that would alter the district's baseline performance. A significant national partisan wave or unexpected nominee weakness could narrow the gap, though such outcomes remain low-probability based on current fundamentals.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoMD-05 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
MD-05 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
$15,971 Vol.
$15,971 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Demócrata
94%
Partido Republicano
10%
$15,971 Vol.
$15,971 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Demócrata
$8,538 Vol.
94%
Partido Republicano
$7,433 Vol.
10%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Maryland's 5th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+17 Partisan Voter Index and consistent Solid or Safe Democratic ratings from major forecasters. Longtime incumbent Steny Hoyer won reelection with 67.8 percent in 2024 before announcing his retirement, opening the seat to a crowded Democratic primary scheduled for June 23. Multiple Democratic candidates, including figures with local government experience, compete for the nomination in a district encompassing Prince George's County suburbs and southern Maryland counties. Republican primary contenders face structural disadvantages in general election turnout and voter registration patterns. Trader consensus at these levels aligns with historical margins and the absence of recent shifts that would alter the district's baseline performance. A significant national partisan wave or unexpected nominee weakness could narrow the gap, though such outcomes remain low-probability based on current fundamentals.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volumen
$15,971Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Maryland's 5th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+17 Partisan Voter Index and consistent Solid or Safe Democratic ratings from major forecasters. Longtime incumbent Steny Hoyer won reelection with 67.8 percent in 2024 before announcing his retirement, opening the seat to a crowded Democratic primary scheduled for June 23. Multiple Democratic candidates, including figures with local government experience, compete for the nomination in a district encompassing Prince George's County suburbs and southern Maryland counties. Republican primary contenders face structural disadvantages in general election turnout and voter registration patterns. Trader consensus at these levels aligns with historical margins and the absence of recent shifts that would alter the district's baseline performance. A significant national partisan wave or unexpected nominee weakness could narrow the gap, though such outcomes remain low-probability based on current fundamentals.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$15,971Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Maryland's 5th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+17 Partisan Voter Index and consistent Solid or Safe Democratic ratings from major forecasters. Longtime incumbent Steny Hoyer won reelection with 67.8 percent in 2024 before announcing his retirement, opening the seat to a crowded Democratic primary scheduled for June 23. Multiple Democratic candidates, including figures with local government experience, compete for the nomination in a district encompassing Prince George's County suburbs and southern Maryland counties. Republican primary contenders face structural disadvantages in general election turnout and voter registration patterns. Trader consensus at these levels aligns with historical margins and the absence of recent shifts that would alter the district's baseline performance. A significant national partisan wave or unexpected nominee weakness could narrow the gap, though such outcomes remain low-probability based on current fundamentals.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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