Minnesota's 5th congressional district maintains a Partisan Voter Index of D+32, reflecting consistent Democratic margins exceeding 50 points in recent cycles, including Ilhan Omar's 2024 general election victory. Omar secured the Democratic nomination on August 11 with more than 80 percent of the primary vote against multiple challengers, positioning her for the November 3 general election against Republican John Nagel and an independent candidate. Forecasters across Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and others rate the contest Solid or Safe Democratic based on district demographics centered in Minneapolis and established voting patterns. Trader consensus at these levels aligns with the district's structural fundamentals and the absence of competitive Republican performance in prior cycles. Only unforeseen events such as a major candidate withdrawal or national political realignment would likely shift the implied probability.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGanador de las elecciones de la Cámara de Representantes MN-05
Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara de Representantes MN-05
$48,663 Vol.
$48,663 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Partido Demócrata
98%
Partido Republicano
1%
$48,663 Vol.
$48,663 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Partido Demócrata
$18,221 Vol.
98%
Partido Republicano
$30,442 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Minnesota's 5th congressional district maintains a Partisan Voter Index of D+32, reflecting consistent Democratic margins exceeding 50 points in recent cycles, including Ilhan Omar's 2024 general election victory. Omar secured the Democratic nomination on August 11 with more than 80 percent of the primary vote against multiple challengers, positioning her for the November 3 general election against Republican John Nagel and an independent candidate. Forecasters across Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and others rate the contest Solid or Safe Democratic based on district demographics centered in Minneapolis and established voting patterns. Trader consensus at these levels aligns with the district's structural fundamentals and the absence of competitive Republican performance in prior cycles. Only unforeseen events such as a major candidate withdrawal or national political realignment would likely shift the implied probability.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volumen
$48,663Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Minnesota's 5th congressional district maintains a Partisan Voter Index of D+32, reflecting consistent Democratic margins exceeding 50 points in recent cycles, including Ilhan Omar's 2024 general election victory. Omar secured the Democratic nomination on August 11 with more than 80 percent of the primary vote against multiple challengers, positioning her for the November 3 general election against Republican John Nagel and an independent candidate. Forecasters across Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and others rate the contest Solid or Safe Democratic based on district demographics centered in Minneapolis and established voting patterns. Trader consensus at these levels aligns with the district's structural fundamentals and the absence of competitive Republican performance in prior cycles. Only unforeseen events such as a major candidate withdrawal or national political realignment would likely shift the implied probability.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$48,663Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Minnesota's 5th congressional district maintains a Partisan Voter Index of D+32, reflecting consistent Democratic margins exceeding 50 points in recent cycles, including Ilhan Omar's 2024 general election victory. Omar secured the Democratic nomination on August 11 with more than 80 percent of the primary vote against multiple challengers, positioning her for the November 3 general election against Republican John Nagel and an independent candidate. Forecasters across Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and others rate the contest Solid or Safe Democratic based on district demographics centered in Minneapolis and established voting patterns. Trader consensus at these levels aligns with the district's structural fundamentals and the absence of competitive Republican performance in prior cycles. Only unforeseen events such as a major candidate withdrawal or national political realignment would likely shift the implied probability.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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