Minnesota's 5th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean based on its urban Minneapolis demographics, consistent voting patterns, and Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+32. Incumbent Ilhan Omar's choice to seek reelection rather than a Senate bid has unified party support ahead of the August 11 Democratic primary, while Republican contenders show limited organization or resources. All major forecasters classify the race as Solid or Safe Democratic, aligning with trader consensus reflected in the 93.5% implied probability for the Democratic nominee in the November 3 general election. A significant primary upset or unexpected general-election event could theoretically shift the outcome, though both remain low-probability scenarios given the district's structural advantages and historical margins exceeding 70%.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGanador de las elecciones de la Cámara de Representantes MN-05
Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara de Representantes MN-05
$40,820 Vol.
$40,820 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Demócrata
94%
Partido Republicano
4%
$40,820 Vol.
$40,820 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Demócrata
$16,817 Vol.
94%
Partido Republicano
$24,002 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Minnesota's 5th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean based on its urban Minneapolis demographics, consistent voting patterns, and Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+32. Incumbent Ilhan Omar's choice to seek reelection rather than a Senate bid has unified party support ahead of the August 11 Democratic primary, while Republican contenders show limited organization or resources. All major forecasters classify the race as Solid or Safe Democratic, aligning with trader consensus reflected in the 93.5% implied probability for the Democratic nominee in the November 3 general election. A significant primary upset or unexpected general-election event could theoretically shift the outcome, though both remain low-probability scenarios given the district's structural advantages and historical margins exceeding 70%.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volumen
$40,820Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Minnesota's 5th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean based on its urban Minneapolis demographics, consistent voting patterns, and Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+32. Incumbent Ilhan Omar's choice to seek reelection rather than a Senate bid has unified party support ahead of the August 11 Democratic primary, while Republican contenders show limited organization or resources. All major forecasters classify the race as Solid or Safe Democratic, aligning with trader consensus reflected in the 93.5% implied probability for the Democratic nominee in the November 3 general election. A significant primary upset or unexpected general-election event could theoretically shift the outcome, though both remain low-probability scenarios given the district's structural advantages and historical margins exceeding 70%.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$40,820Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Minnesota's 5th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean based on its urban Minneapolis demographics, consistent voting patterns, and Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+32. Incumbent Ilhan Omar's choice to seek reelection rather than a Senate bid has unified party support ahead of the August 11 Democratic primary, while Republican contenders show limited organization or resources. All major forecasters classify the race as Solid or Safe Democratic, aligning with trader consensus reflected in the 93.5% implied probability for the Democratic nominee in the November 3 general election. A significant primary upset or unexpected general-election event could theoretically shift the outcome, though both remain low-probability scenarios given the district's structural advantages and historical margins exceeding 70%.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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