Incumbent Democrat John Mannion holds a commanding position in New York’s 22nd congressional district ahead of the November 2026 general election, reflected in the strong trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. The seat flipped to Democratic control in 2024 with Mannion’s victory, and nonpartisan ratings such as those from the Cook Political Report classify it as Likely or Solid Democratic based on its partisan voting index. Mannion’s substantial fundraising edge, exceeding $1.5 million in cash on hand early in the cycle compared with Republican challenger Kailee Buller’s totals, combined with his unopposed or straightforward primary win in June 2026, reinforces the market pricing. A major national Republican wave, unforeseen scandal, or late-cycle shifts in voter turnout could still alter the outcome before Election Day.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGanador de las elecciones a la Cámara de Representantes de NY-22
Ganador de las elecciones a la Cámara de Representantes de NY-22
$13,478 Vol.
$13,478 Vol.
4 nov 2026
Partido Demócrata
93%
Partido Republicano
8%
$13,478 Vol.
$13,478 Vol.
4 nov 2026
Partido Demócrata
$10,365 Vol.
93%
Partido Republicano
$3,113 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-22 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat John Mannion holds a commanding position in New York’s 22nd congressional district ahead of the November 2026 general election, reflected in the strong trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. The seat flipped to Democratic control in 2024 with Mannion’s victory, and nonpartisan ratings such as those from the Cook Political Report classify it as Likely or Solid Democratic based on its partisan voting index. Mannion’s substantial fundraising edge, exceeding $1.5 million in cash on hand early in the cycle compared with Republican challenger Kailee Buller’s totals, combined with his unopposed or straightforward primary win in June 2026, reinforces the market pricing. A major national Republican wave, unforeseen scandal, or late-cycle shifts in voter turnout could still alter the outcome before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-22 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Dec 16, 2025, 12:48 PM ET
Volumen
$13,478Fecha de finalización
4 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Dec 16, 2025, 12:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-22 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat John Mannion holds a commanding position in New York’s 22nd congressional district ahead of the November 2026 general election, reflected in the strong trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. The seat flipped to Democratic control in 2024 with Mannion’s victory, and nonpartisan ratings such as those from the Cook Political Report classify it as Likely or Solid Democratic based on its partisan voting index. Mannion’s substantial fundraising edge, exceeding $1.5 million in cash on hand early in the cycle compared with Republican challenger Kailee Buller’s totals, combined with his unopposed or straightforward primary win in June 2026, reinforces the market pricing. A major national Republican wave, unforeseen scandal, or late-cycle shifts in voter turnout could still alter the outcome before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-22 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$13,478Fecha de finalización
4 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Dec 16, 2025, 12:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat John Mannion holds a commanding position in New York’s 22nd congressional district ahead of the November 2026 general election, reflected in the strong trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. The seat flipped to Democratic control in 2024 with Mannion’s victory, and nonpartisan ratings such as those from the Cook Political Report classify it as Likely or Solid Democratic based on its partisan voting index. Mannion’s substantial fundraising edge, exceeding $1.5 million in cash on hand early in the cycle compared with Republican challenger Kailee Buller’s totals, combined with his unopposed or straightforward primary win in June 2026, reinforces the market pricing. A major national Republican wave, unforeseen scandal, or late-cycle shifts in voter turnout could still alter the outcome before Election Day.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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