Michigan's 11th congressional district maintains a consistent Democratic lean, reflected in its D+9 partisan voter index and the incumbent's 58% victory in 2024. With Democrat Haley Stevens retiring to pursue a Senate seat, the open race features a competitive Democratic primary on August 4, 2026, while Republican options remain limited. Nonpartisan rating firms classify the seat as solid or safe Democratic, aligning with the market's strong consensus on the party's general election prospects. A significant national political realignment, an unusually strong Republican nominee, or unforeseen developments in the primary could introduce modest uncertainty, though structural factors currently limit such shifts.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGanador de las elecciones de la Cámara de Representantes del MI-11
Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara de Representantes del MI-11
$56,265 Vol.
$56,265 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Demócrata
96%
Partido Republicano
1%
$56,265 Vol.
$56,265 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Demócrata
$44,047 Vol.
96%
Partido Republicano
$12,219 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Michigan's 11th congressional district maintains a consistent Democratic lean, reflected in its D+9 partisan voter index and the incumbent's 58% victory in 2024. With Democrat Haley Stevens retiring to pursue a Senate seat, the open race features a competitive Democratic primary on August 4, 2026, while Republican options remain limited. Nonpartisan rating firms classify the seat as solid or safe Democratic, aligning with the market's strong consensus on the party's general election prospects. A significant national political realignment, an unusually strong Republican nominee, or unforeseen developments in the primary could introduce modest uncertainty, though structural factors currently limit such shifts.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volumen
$56,265Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Michigan's 11th congressional district maintains a consistent Democratic lean, reflected in its D+9 partisan voter index and the incumbent's 58% victory in 2024. With Democrat Haley Stevens retiring to pursue a Senate seat, the open race features a competitive Democratic primary on August 4, 2026, while Republican options remain limited. Nonpartisan rating firms classify the seat as solid or safe Democratic, aligning with the market's strong consensus on the party's general election prospects. A significant national political realignment, an unusually strong Republican nominee, or unforeseen developments in the primary could introduce modest uncertainty, though structural factors currently limit such shifts.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$56,265Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Michigan's 11th congressional district maintains a consistent Democratic lean, reflected in its D+9 partisan voter index and the incumbent's 58% victory in 2024. With Democrat Haley Stevens retiring to pursue a Senate seat, the open race features a competitive Democratic primary on August 4, 2026, while Republican options remain limited. Nonpartisan rating firms classify the seat as solid or safe Democratic, aligning with the market's strong consensus on the party's general election prospects. A significant national political realignment, an unusually strong Republican nominee, or unforeseen developments in the primary could introduce modest uncertainty, though structural factors currently limit such shifts.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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