Incumbent Democrat Rashida Tlaib anchors the strong trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee in Michigan’s 12th congressional district. The seat’s consistent Democratic voting patterns, including Tlaib’s prior general-election margins above 60 percent, underpin the 93.5 percent implied probability. With the August 4 primary approaching, Tlaib faces intra-party challengers yet retains clear frontrunner status, while the Republican field remains limited to James Hooper. The general-election contest on November 3 offers little structural opening for Republicans absent a major shift in district turnout or an unforeseen development such as a late scandal or candidate withdrawal that alters the November ballot.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGanador de las elecciones de la Cámara MI-12
Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara MI-12
$28,890 Vol.
$28,890 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Demócrata
94%
Partido Republicano
5%
$28,890 Vol.
$28,890 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Demócrata
$17,714 Vol.
94%
Partido Republicano
$11,175 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Rashida Tlaib anchors the strong trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee in Michigan’s 12th congressional district. The seat’s consistent Democratic voting patterns, including Tlaib’s prior general-election margins above 60 percent, underpin the 93.5 percent implied probability. With the August 4 primary approaching, Tlaib faces intra-party challengers yet retains clear frontrunner status, while the Republican field remains limited to James Hooper. The general-election contest on November 3 offers little structural opening for Republicans absent a major shift in district turnout or an unforeseen development such as a late scandal or candidate withdrawal that alters the November ballot.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volumen
$28,890Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Rashida Tlaib anchors the strong trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee in Michigan’s 12th congressional district. The seat’s consistent Democratic voting patterns, including Tlaib’s prior general-election margins above 60 percent, underpin the 93.5 percent implied probability. With the August 4 primary approaching, Tlaib faces intra-party challengers yet retains clear frontrunner status, while the Republican field remains limited to James Hooper. The general-election contest on November 3 offers little structural opening for Republicans absent a major shift in district turnout or an unforeseen development such as a late scandal or candidate withdrawal that alters the November ballot.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$28,890Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Rashida Tlaib anchors the strong trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee in Michigan’s 12th congressional district. The seat’s consistent Democratic voting patterns, including Tlaib’s prior general-election margins above 60 percent, underpin the 93.5 percent implied probability. With the August 4 primary approaching, Tlaib faces intra-party challengers yet retains clear frontrunner status, while the Republican field remains limited to James Hooper. The general-election contest on November 3 offers little structural opening for Republicans absent a major shift in district turnout or an unforeseen development such as a late scandal or candidate withdrawal that alters the November ballot.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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