Incumbent Republican Nick Langworthy holds a strong position in New York’s 23rd congressional district ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election, supported by the seat’s R+10 Cook Partisan Voting Index and its 21-point margin for the Republican presidential nominee in 2024. Langworthy, first elected in 2022 and reelected with 65.8 percent of the vote, benefits from incumbency advantages including name recognition and fundraising in this reliably Republican Southern Tier district rated Solid R. Democrat Aaron Gies secured his party’s nomination in the June 23 primary but faces structural headwinds in a district where recent polling and baseline partisan metrics sustain trader consensus around an 83.5 percent implied probability for the Republican outcome. No major candidate withdrawals, scandals, or national political shifts have altered these dynamics in recent weeks.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGanador de las elecciones a la Cámara de Representantes de NY-23
Ganador de las elecciones a la Cámara de Representantes de NY-23
$18,292 Vol.
$18,292 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
84%
Partido Demócrata
16%
$18,292 Vol.
$18,292 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
$8,246 Vol.
84%
Partido Demócrata
$10,045 Vol.
16%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Nick Langworthy holds a strong position in New York’s 23rd congressional district ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election, supported by the seat’s R+10 Cook Partisan Voting Index and its 21-point margin for the Republican presidential nominee in 2024. Langworthy, first elected in 2022 and reelected with 65.8 percent of the vote, benefits from incumbency advantages including name recognition and fundraising in this reliably Republican Southern Tier district rated Solid R. Democrat Aaron Gies secured his party’s nomination in the June 23 primary but faces structural headwinds in a district where recent polling and baseline partisan metrics sustain trader consensus around an 83.5 percent implied probability for the Republican outcome. No major candidate withdrawals, scandals, or national political shifts have altered these dynamics in recent weeks.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volumen
$18,292Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Nick Langworthy holds a strong position in New York’s 23rd congressional district ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election, supported by the seat’s R+10 Cook Partisan Voting Index and its 21-point margin for the Republican presidential nominee in 2024. Langworthy, first elected in 2022 and reelected with 65.8 percent of the vote, benefits from incumbency advantages including name recognition and fundraising in this reliably Republican Southern Tier district rated Solid R. Democrat Aaron Gies secured his party’s nomination in the June 23 primary but faces structural headwinds in a district where recent polling and baseline partisan metrics sustain trader consensus around an 83.5 percent implied probability for the Republican outcome. No major candidate withdrawals, scandals, or national political shifts have altered these dynamics in recent weeks.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$18,292Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Nick Langworthy holds a strong position in New York’s 23rd congressional district ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election, supported by the seat’s R+10 Cook Partisan Voting Index and its 21-point margin for the Republican presidential nominee in 2024. Langworthy, first elected in 2022 and reelected with 65.8 percent of the vote, benefits from incumbency advantages including name recognition and fundraising in this reliably Republican Southern Tier district rated Solid R. Democrat Aaron Gies secured his party’s nomination in the June 23 primary but faces structural headwinds in a district where recent polling and baseline partisan metrics sustain trader consensus around an 83.5 percent implied probability for the Republican outcome. No major candidate withdrawals, scandals, or national political shifts have altered these dynamics in recent weeks.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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