Incumbent Republican Nick Langworthy holds a commanding position in the NY-23 House race due to the district's consistent Republican tilt, including a 21-point Trump margin in 2024 and a Cook Political Report Solid Republican rating. Langworthy, unopposed in the June primary, benefits from incumbency advantages, a substantial fundraising edge exceeding $2 million, and established constituent relationships across the Southern Tier and western New York counties. Democratic nominee Aaron Gies, a St. Bonaventure University professor who won his primary decisively, faces structural barriers in this R+10 partisan voting index district. Trader consensus reflects these fundamentals, though late-cycle developments such as national economic shifts, candidate health events, or unusually high Democratic turnout could narrow the margin before the November 3 general election.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGanador de las elecciones a la Cámara de Representantes de NY-23
Ganador de las elecciones a la Cámara de Representantes de NY-23
$32,257 Vol.
$32,257 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Nick Langworthy (R)
95%
Aaron Gies (D)
4%
$32,257 Vol.
$32,257 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Nick Langworthy (R)
$16,757 Vol.
95%
Aaron Gies (D)
$15,500 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Nick Langworthy holds a commanding position in the NY-23 House race due to the district's consistent Republican tilt, including a 21-point Trump margin in 2024 and a Cook Political Report Solid Republican rating. Langworthy, unopposed in the June primary, benefits from incumbency advantages, a substantial fundraising edge exceeding $2 million, and established constituent relationships across the Southern Tier and western New York counties. Democratic nominee Aaron Gies, a St. Bonaventure University professor who won his primary decisively, faces structural barriers in this R+10 partisan voting index district. Trader consensus reflects these fundamentals, though late-cycle developments such as national economic shifts, candidate health events, or unusually high Democratic turnout could narrow the margin before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volumen
$32,257Fecha de finalización
4 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Nick Langworthy holds a commanding position in the NY-23 House race due to the district's consistent Republican tilt, including a 21-point Trump margin in 2024 and a Cook Political Report Solid Republican rating. Langworthy, unopposed in the June primary, benefits from incumbency advantages, a substantial fundraising edge exceeding $2 million, and established constituent relationships across the Southern Tier and western New York counties. Democratic nominee Aaron Gies, a St. Bonaventure University professor who won his primary decisively, faces structural barriers in this R+10 partisan voting index district. Trader consensus reflects these fundamentals, though late-cycle developments such as national economic shifts, candidate health events, or unusually high Democratic turnout could narrow the margin before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$32,257Fecha de finalización
4 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Nick Langworthy holds a commanding position in the NY-23 House race due to the district's consistent Republican tilt, including a 21-point Trump margin in 2024 and a Cook Political Report Solid Republican rating. Langworthy, unopposed in the June primary, benefits from incumbency advantages, a substantial fundraising edge exceeding $2 million, and established constituent relationships across the Southern Tier and western New York counties. Democratic nominee Aaron Gies, a St. Bonaventure University professor who won his primary decisively, faces structural barriers in this R+10 partisan voting index district. Trader consensus reflects these fundamentals, though late-cycle developments such as national economic shifts, candidate health events, or unusually high Democratic turnout could narrow the margin before the November 3 general election.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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