Nick Langworthy holds a commanding lead in the NY-23 House race as the Republican incumbent in a district rated Solid Republican by the Cook Political Report and Safe Republican by Sabato’s Crystal Ball, with an R+10 partisan voter index. He advanced unopposed through the June 2026 primary while building a substantial fundraising edge exceeding $2 million in cash on hand, compared to Democratic nominee Aaron Gies’ limited resources following his primary victory. Forecasters have maintained consistent ratings through September 2026, reflecting the district’s historical Republican performance and absence of competitive polling shifts. Trader consensus at these levels aligns with the structural advantages for the incumbent, though a major scandal, national political realignment, or unusually high Democratic turnout could still narrow margins before the November 3 general election.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGanador de las elecciones a la Cámara de Representantes de NY-23
Ganador de las elecciones a la Cámara de Representantes de NY-23
$32,257 Vol.
$32,257 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Nick Langworthy (R)
95%
Aaron Gies (D)
4%
$32,257 Vol.
$32,257 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Nick Langworthy (R)
$16,757 Vol.
95%
Aaron Gies (D)
$15,500 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Nick Langworthy holds a commanding lead in the NY-23 House race as the Republican incumbent in a district rated Solid Republican by the Cook Political Report and Safe Republican by Sabato’s Crystal Ball, with an R+10 partisan voter index. He advanced unopposed through the June 2026 primary while building a substantial fundraising edge exceeding $2 million in cash on hand, compared to Democratic nominee Aaron Gies’ limited resources following his primary victory. Forecasters have maintained consistent ratings through September 2026, reflecting the district’s historical Republican performance and absence of competitive polling shifts. Trader consensus at these levels aligns with the structural advantages for the incumbent, though a major scandal, national political realignment, or unusually high Democratic turnout could still narrow margins before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volumen
$32,257Fecha de finalización
4 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Nick Langworthy holds a commanding lead in the NY-23 House race as the Republican incumbent in a district rated Solid Republican by the Cook Political Report and Safe Republican by Sabato’s Crystal Ball, with an R+10 partisan voter index. He advanced unopposed through the June 2026 primary while building a substantial fundraising edge exceeding $2 million in cash on hand, compared to Democratic nominee Aaron Gies’ limited resources following his primary victory. Forecasters have maintained consistent ratings through September 2026, reflecting the district’s historical Republican performance and absence of competitive polling shifts. Trader consensus at these levels aligns with the structural advantages for the incumbent, though a major scandal, national political realignment, or unusually high Democratic turnout could still narrow margins before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$32,257Fecha de finalización
4 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Nick Langworthy holds a commanding lead in the NY-23 House race as the Republican incumbent in a district rated Solid Republican by the Cook Political Report and Safe Republican by Sabato’s Crystal Ball, with an R+10 partisan voter index. He advanced unopposed through the June 2026 primary while building a substantial fundraising edge exceeding $2 million in cash on hand, compared to Democratic nominee Aaron Gies’ limited resources following his primary victory. Forecasters have maintained consistent ratings through September 2026, reflecting the district’s historical Republican performance and absence of competitive polling shifts. Trader consensus at these levels aligns with the structural advantages for the incumbent, though a major scandal, national political realignment, or unusually high Democratic turnout could still narrow margins before the November 3 general election.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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