TX-23, rated R+7 by the Cook Partisan Voter Index and Likely Republican by major forecasters, favors the GOP nominee Brandon Herrera following the March 2026 primary where he advanced ahead of incumbent Tony Gonzales. Gonzales resigned in April amid an ethics probe tied to a staffer scandal, leaving the seat vacant without a special election scheduled. Herrera secured the nomination after Gonzales withdrew from the runoff and received a Trump endorsement. Democrat Katy Padilla Stout won her primary and remains the general-election challenger on November 3. Trader pricing reflects the district's structural Republican tilt and limited recent polling shifts, though the open seat and border-focused electorate keep Democratic prospects in play.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGanador de las elecciones de la Cámara de Representantes de TX-23
$39,014 Vol.
$39,014 Vol.
Partido Republicano
70%
Partido Demócrata
31%
$39,014 Vol.
$39,014 Vol.
Partido Republicano
70%
Partido Demócrata
31%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...TX-23, rated R+7 by the Cook Partisan Voter Index and Likely Republican by major forecasters, favors the GOP nominee Brandon Herrera following the March 2026 primary where he advanced ahead of incumbent Tony Gonzales. Gonzales resigned in April amid an ethics probe tied to a staffer scandal, leaving the seat vacant without a special election scheduled. Herrera secured the nomination after Gonzales withdrew from the runoff and received a Trump endorsement. Democrat Katy Padilla Stout won her primary and remains the general-election challenger on November 3. Trader pricing reflects the district's structural Republican tilt and limited recent polling shifts, though the open seat and border-focused electorate keep Democratic prospects in play.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado

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