Republican Brandon Herrera holds a clear edge in the Texas 23rd congressional district race following the April 2026 resignation of scandal-plagued incumbent Tony Gonzales. Herrera secured the GOP nomination after advancing from the March primary, while Democrat Katy Padilla Stout won her party's primary. The district's Republican tilt, shown in recent presidential and statewide results, underpins the current trader consensus. Early head-to-head polling indicated a competitive matchup, yet consistent "Likely Republican" ratings from multiple forecasters reflect the structural advantage. Fundraising leads for Herrera and the absence of major late developments have reinforced the implied probability ahead of the November general election.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGanador de las elecciones de la Cámara de Representantes de TX-23
Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara de Representantes de TX-23
$39,114 Vol.
$39,114 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
71%
Partido Demócrata
31%
$39,114 Vol.
$39,114 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
$23,045 Vol.
71%
Partido Demócrata
$16,069 Vol.
31%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican Brandon Herrera holds a clear edge in the Texas 23rd congressional district race following the April 2026 resignation of scandal-plagued incumbent Tony Gonzales. Herrera secured the GOP nomination after advancing from the March primary, while Democrat Katy Padilla Stout won her party's primary. The district's Republican tilt, shown in recent presidential and statewide results, underpins the current trader consensus. Early head-to-head polling indicated a competitive matchup, yet consistent "Likely Republican" ratings from multiple forecasters reflect the structural advantage. Fundraising leads for Herrera and the absence of major late developments have reinforced the implied probability ahead of the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Volumen
$39,114Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican Brandon Herrera holds a clear edge in the Texas 23rd congressional district race following the April 2026 resignation of scandal-plagued incumbent Tony Gonzales. Herrera secured the GOP nomination after advancing from the March primary, while Democrat Katy Padilla Stout won her party's primary. The district's Republican tilt, shown in recent presidential and statewide results, underpins the current trader consensus. Early head-to-head polling indicated a competitive matchup, yet consistent "Likely Republican" ratings from multiple forecasters reflect the structural advantage. Fundraising leads for Herrera and the absence of major late developments have reinforced the implied probability ahead of the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$39,114Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Republican Brandon Herrera holds a clear edge in the Texas 23rd congressional district race following the April 2026 resignation of scandal-plagued incumbent Tony Gonzales. Herrera secured the GOP nomination after advancing from the March primary, while Democrat Katy Padilla Stout won her party's primary. The district's Republican tilt, shown in recent presidential and statewide results, underpins the current trader consensus. Early head-to-head polling indicated a competitive matchup, yet consistent "Likely Republican" ratings from multiple forecasters reflect the structural advantage. Fundraising leads for Herrera and the absence of major late developments have reinforced the implied probability ahead of the November general election.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes